Risk Adverse Futures Market Trader
Peter L BrandtStrong Opinions, Weakly Held
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 17 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 8 months ago |
| Active | |||||
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What percent of aspiring traders might average 50% per year ROR during the next five-years?
Summary of data
Based on extensive academic research and performance data, the probability that a new trader (i.e., a retail speculator or individual without institutional resources) achieves an average annual rate of return (ROR) of 50%...
The data show that .2% of Sim traders will become professional traders
How successful are retail traders in the futures markets?
An analysis by Peter L Brandt
CEO, Factor LLC
August 5, 2025
What happens in the first year?
Projecting the percentage of simulated futures market traders who are net p...
Is the CFTC grossly negligent for the hundreds of millions of dollars aspiring commodity traders lose to sham prop firms?
The modern online sim-for-payout firms actively promote the idea that they are the vehicles through with people can make money trading commodity futures prices. In fact, clients of these firm make or lose money based on the price changes of...
Is online sim-for-payout trading even legal?: A perspective
Simulated Trading for Payouts by Futures Market Prop Firms: A Case for Regulatory Scrutiny Under State Online Gambling Laws
Executive Summary
The rapid expansion of proprietary trading firms ("prop firms") offering simulated trading...
Is the current stock market volatility the worst I have encountered
Current Market Context (April 2025)
As of now, markets are reacting to significant uncertainty, likely driven by escalating trade tensions (e.g., U.S.-China tariffs) and geopolitical shifts. Let’s assume a hypothetical but plausible scenar...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Commodity trader, author, Austrian economics, classical chartist, Christ-follower, Market Wizard, strong opinions/weakly held, husband/father Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota
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