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Policy Tensor

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Latest Issues

Why the US is facing a second strategic defeat

Iran’s new theory of victory

This page has argued that defeat in the Battle of Hormuz had thrown a wrench into Iran’s theory of victory. Having neutralized the US threat against Iranian infrastructure with tit-for-tat and the US counter-po...

8 days ago
29
8
Paid

Vulnerability Theory

Why the Houthis will almost certainly prevail

I have explained previously why the Houthis are so powerful. This is very poorly understood among informed Western commentators. The sources of the intrinsic power of the Houthis are twofold.

17 days ago
29
Paid

Clark’s Anomaly

Why the Fisher-Clark model can be rejected

Gregory Clark has marshaled an impressive amount of empirical evidence that shows an extraordinary degree of status persistence in England over the past few centuries. This is an accomplishment of...

17 days ago
18
2
Paid

Strategic Incoherence

How Iran is snatching defeat from the jaws of victory

Two months ago I wrote that Iran had a compelling theory of victory. I no longer believe that to be the case. The problem is not that the Iranians chose the wrong strategy per se, but t...

a month ago
20
4
Paid

Why the Houthis are so powerful

The military potential of the male lineage group revisited

The Houthis are on a roll. Last year, they defeated a months-long campaign led by CENTCOM’s General Kurilla. They shot down seven Reaper drones. In addition, the US lost two F/A-18...

2 months ago
31
2
Paid

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