Anatoly Karlin's Blog
Anatoly KarlinAnatoly has written about a wide range of topics from world politics to transhumanism since 2008.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 39 | Founded | 6 years ago | Last Issue | 9 months ago |
| Active | |||||
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karlin.blogLatest Issues
The Party's Over
I was bullposting about crypto since Bitcoin was at $25,500-30,000. I think I have earned the right to flip bearish now that it’s 4x higher at $120,000. Ethereum is up 3x from $1550-1700 when I shilled it, reaching a peak of $4,800 (just 1%...
EHC Victory in Romania
Belatedly, a few words on the recent Romania elections, which saw Nicușor Dan handily defeat George Simion (the stand in for the disbarred Georgescu with his many powerful ideas about organic farming, health, and the Transylvania forests as...
Anthropic Shadow Geopolitics
One of the most interesting concepts in rationalist thought relates to “Anthropic Shadow.” This is the idea that existential risks are implicitly conditioned on the existence of human observers, and are therefore biased to the downside, sin...
Snakes & Skyscrapers
As Ingemar Patrick Linden recently pointed out, death places #51 on the list of what Americans fear most out of 90 other things. Our programmed doom evokes less terror than heights, sharks, and government snooping. In fairness, there are go...
India v. Pakistan: Who Would Win?
Prediction markets are giving a 24% chance of an Indian invasion of Pakistan before July. I don’t care to bet on this. (No alpha). The level of escalation so far is modest relative to previous crises. However, one novelty that hasn’t happen...
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