Predictable
Stu Burguiere, Dan AndrosFounded by Stu Burguiere, Predictable is a daily lens on the news through prediction markets.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 29 | Founded | 4 months ago | Last Issue | 13 hours ago |
| Active | |||||
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predictable.substack.comLatest Issues
Inside the Texas Blowout Trade
Tuesday night was fun. Tonight’s show, however, was maybe even more important.
If you watched our livestream Tuesday night as we wargamed the Cornyn collapse in real-time, you already know what happened: the Paxton positions exploded, the...
A 1000% Position in Nine Hours
Well, technically it was 999.79% in one day.
That is what last night turned into, live from Terry Black’s Barbecue in Dallas with Kalshi and Politicon. Texas runoff. Paxton over Cornyn. I told you for days I had a strong position. Here...
$8M Just Flipped in the Massie Primary
Last night on Predictable, we spent a lot of time on something we’ve been trying to hammer home since this show launched: The biggest value in prediction markets usually comes before the headlines catch up.
That’s exactly what happened wit...
The Market Sees Trouble For Thomas Massie
Last night on Predictable, we spent a lot of time talking about something that’s really important if you’re going to survive in prediction markets long term:
Not every losing position is actually a bad trade. That sounds insane at first. E...
The 10x Trade Hiding in Louisiana
On the latest episode of Predictable, we went deep into one of my favorite things in politics:
A revenge plot with a market attached.
Louisiana has a Senate primary coming up, and on the surface, yes, it is a political story. Bill Cassidy...
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Believer. Husband. Dad.
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