Founded by Stu Burguiere, PREDICTABLE is a daily lens on the news through prediction markets.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 106 | Founded | 9 months ago | Last Issue | 3 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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predictable.substack.comLatest Issues
I Went 191–34 on Midterm Markets. Here’s What I Got Right and What I Got Wrong
The blue mega tsunami rolled through, and I’m not going to pretend I enjoyed watching it. In fact, as a conservative myself, this is one of the reasons I love prediction markets. They provide me with an opportunity to get something useful a...
Red Wave, Blue Trickle or Mega Tsunami?
Well, this has been one heckuva ride, hasn’t it? If one judges things by the polls, things do not look particularly wonderful for Republicans. Just when they thought they’d hit rock bottom, the floor fell out from beneath them.
But what ab...
Let's Win Election Night
Your election night guide to trading the results.
Early numbers on election night are skewed. Some states count mail ballots first, some count them last, and the margin on your screen at 9 PM can be a long way from where the race ends up.
2026 Midterms: Stu’s Picks and Key Races to Watch
Will Texas hold of the Dem surge?
Election day is Tuesday and we’re way past panic time. We’re going to see if these favorable polls for democrats actually pans out.
The NYT Uncovered a Scheme in Alaska. Does It Move the Senate Market?
Who else had The New York Times doing some journalism that makes a Democrat look bad on their 2026 midterm bingo card? Yeah, me neither. It’s rare, but it did happen and there’s a chance it could send some confusion into the markets.
Th...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Host of Predictable w/ Stu. I analyze the news through prediction markets. Subscribe for every episode, Stu's Picks, and a free guide to reading any market.
President @ PREDICTABLE
Believer. Husband. Dad.
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