Predictable
Stu Burguiere, Dan Andros, Brenton EvansFounded by Stu Burguiere, Predictable is a daily lens on the news through prediction markets.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 43 | Founded | 5 months ago | Last Issue | 7 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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predictable.substack.comLatest Issues
How I'm Hunting for Value While Everyone Else Takes a Break
One of the easiest mistakes in prediction markets is assuming there aren’t any opportunities just because the calendar looks quiet.
That’s especially true over the next few weeks.
The biggest rush of primary season is behind us for the mo...
The Trade Nobody Saw
Nancy Lacore was a lock all night, around 95 cents.
Then the early vote came in from her opponent’s turf first, the scoreboard looked scary, and the market panicked and dumped her to a nickel.
Her real votes had not come in yet. So we bou...
The Market Is Testing One of My Favorite Theories
One of the biggest questions we tackled on last night’s show was whether one of my favorite theories is finally running into trouble.
For a long time, the basic idea has been simple: when Donald Trump really wants someone to win a Republic...
You’re Early. And That’s The Entire Point.
One of the things I kept thinking about during election night was how strange this whole thing must look from the outside.
There I am broadcasting from a park in 95-degree weather, then heading home and spending hours watching margin marke...
Making money off of politicians
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Believer. Husband. Dad.
President @ Predictable Media
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