PREDICTABLE
Stu Burguiere, Dan A., Brenton EvansFounded by Stu Burguiere, PREDICTABLE is a daily lens on the news through prediction markets.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 60 | Founded | 7 months ago | Last Issue | 4 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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predictable.substack.comLatest Issues
I Lost My Hong
Last night, I went 27-2.
Should’ve been one of my best election nights so far. On any other night it would’ve been. But not last night. Nope, instead, I got Hong’d.
I HELD MY HONG TOO LONG
Yes, we’re doing this.
Francesca Hong walk...
Tomorrow Is Going to Get Weird
Tomorrow is one of the biggest primary days of the year. Wisconsin. Minnesota. South Carolina. Connecticut. Vermont. Alabama and there are some VERY interesting markets out there.
Let’s start in Wisconsin, where Francesca Hong is sitting a...
This Legend Went From Nukes to Election Odds
What a show we had today with the absolute legend John Aristotle Phillips, Co-Founder and CEO of PredictIt. John’s a longtime political entrepreneur who’s spent decades on how markets aggregate information and improve forecasting.
A few mo...
The Haley Hail Mary
What an insane night.
Many would argue that the candidates were insane, but the trading was even more so. Seriously. I thought for sure this position was over. I bought Haley Stevens at about 1.35¢, hoping for a brief spike during the ear...
The Market Got Too Confident
Election season is just starting to heat up. Tomorrow is one of those days where the prediction market universe gets pretty interesting. Five states have key elections, several of them are fairly competitive. Narratives are spun, markets bo...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Believer. Husband. Dad.
President @ Predictable Media
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