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Predirections

Jonathan Tonkin, Tim Christophersen
Tens of paid subscribers

Weekly future-focused writing on biodiversity, climate, and water for a changing world — by Prof. Jonathan Tonkin.

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues122Founded3 years agoLast Issue10 days ago
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predirections.substack.com
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Latest Issues

The future doesn’t give the present back

The present moment is all we have. Lake Hāwea, 2025. Photo: J. Tonkin.

It’s school holidays here in Aotearoa New Zealand. My kids have been away at their grandparents’ house for a couple of nights. I like to use this time efficiently when...

10 days ago
66
13

How I read a scientific paper in 20 minutes

A quick note: this post is a little different from my usual topics. But I hope you’ll still find something useful here. (And if you’re new, I mostly write about biodiversity, climate change, and water. Subscribe if that’s your thing!)

Subs...

18 days ago
174
22

Keeping different paths alive

Tramping along the Waimakariri River. Photo: E. Tonkin.

It’s Sunday night and I’m looking at the calendar for the week.

Piano, swimming, basketball, rugby.

It’s not unusual. If you’re a parent, this list probably looks quite familiar....

25 days ago
82
32

Ghosts, debts, and credits

Ecosystems carry a memory of their past. Lake Kaniere, West Coast, New Zealand. Credit: J. Tonkin.

Picture this. You’re sitting on the banks of a picturesque stream in a forested catchment. You’d expect healthy populations of mayflies, st...

a month ago
54
20

Rivers run on insurance. This summer tested it.

Rhine River during the 2026 heatwave. Boppard, Germany. Photo: Bernd Dittrich.

As heatwaves and drought continue to draw down the Danube and Rhine, coverage has focused on shipping delays, energy grid stress, and the resulting chaos for t...

a month ago
51
9

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Authors

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  • Jonathan Tonkin

    Anticipating the future of our living world. Professor of ecology published in Nature and Science and winner of NZ Prime Minister’s Emerging Scientist Prize. I use systems thinking to map out where our planet is headed and how we can navigate it.

  • Tim Christophersen

    Author of 'Generation Restoration', a manual for repairing humanity's relationship with nature towards reciprocity, diversity, and abundance.

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