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Weekly future-focused writing on biodiversity, climate, and water for a changing world — by Prof. Jonathan Tonkin.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues114Founded3 years agoLast Issue6 days ago
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Artwork for Predirections

Latest Issues

The most important discoveries can take decades — or a millennium

Cherry blossoms, Hagley Park, Christchurch. Image: E. Tonkin.

A Japanese professor by the name of Yasuyuki Aono passed away from cancer in 2025. His passing caused widespread concern, because he was the custodian of one of the most phenom...

6 days ago
22
2

Predirections is returning to fully open access

Thanks for being part of this journey! Værøy, Norway. Photo: J. Tonkin.

Two and a half years ago I started writing Predirections because peer-reviewed papers weren’t reaching far enough. The ideas I work on — biodiversity change, forecast...

9 days ago
52
16

Invasive species impacts are higher in the Global South

Lotus being harvested in Lake Taihu, China. Photo: J. Tonkin.

I was in the middle of writing a different essay yesterday when I saw a friend of mine, Hanno Seebens, share a new paper on LinkedIn1. I stopped writing the essay and started r...

12 days ago
22
12

10 questions I ask myself

I don't always have the answers. These are the questions I keep coming back to.

Inspired by a similar list Austin Kleon ran on his Substack, here are ten questions I ask myself when making decisions about where to put my effort, evaluating...

19 days ago
28
2
Paid

Built to flood

Floodplains can seem under-utilised, but they serve many benefits beyond just allowing floods. Mokihinui River, Westland, New Zealand. Photo: J. Tonkin.

What does a functioning river look like to you? Is it straight, neat, and tidy? Or is...

a month ago
46
18

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Authors

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  • Jonathan Tonkin

    Anticipating the future of our living world. Professor of ecology published in Nature and Science and winner of NZ Prime Minister’s Emerging Scientist Prize. I use systems thinking to map out where our planet is headed and how we can navigate it.

  • Tim Christophersen

    Author of 'Generation Restoration', a manual for repairing humanity's relationship with nature towards reciprocity, diversity, and abundance.

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