Weekly future-focused writing on biodiversity, climate, and water for a changing world — by Prof. Jonathan Tonkin.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 119 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 9 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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predirections.substack.comLatest Issues
Ghosts, debts, and credits
Ecosystems carry a memory of their past. Lake Kaniere, West Coast, New Zealand. Credit: J. Tonkin.
Picture this. You’re sitting on the banks of a picturesque stream in a forested catchment. You’d expect healthy populations of mayflies, st...
Rivers run on insurance. This summer tested it.
Rhine River during the 2026 heatwave. Boppard, Germany. Photo: Bernd Dittrich.
As heatwaves and drought continue to draw down the Danube and Rhine, coverage has focused on shipping delays, energy grid stress, and the resulting chaos for t...
The Great Barrier Reef’s breaking point
Great Barrier Reef. Photo by Kristin Hoel on Unsplash
Back in the early 2000s, I recall talking at length with my university friends about the ecosystems we wanted to visit before it was too late—our bucket list of endangered ecosystems. W...
Ten pieces on risk and time
West Coast, South Island, New Zealand. Photo: J. Tonkin.
Hi all,
Something that keeps popping up in my writing is how differently nature handles time and risk compared to how we do. And, in particular, what that mismatch means for us....
The ecosystems that store more carbon than you think
Natural grasslands play a key role in storing carbon and support high biodiversity. Near Lake Karakul, Xinjiang, China. Photo: J. Tonkin.
Earlier this year, a major global study found that grasslands and wetlands are being converted to ag...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Anticipating the future of our living world. Professor of ecology published in Nature and Science and winner of NZ Prime Minister’s Emerging Scientist Prize. I use systems thinking to map out where our planet is headed and how we can navigate it.
Author of 'Generation Restoration', a manual for repairing humanity's relationship with nature towards reciprocity, diversity, and abundance.
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