
Prof. Jiang Xuequin's predictive framework turned into geopolitical scenarios, Polymarket probabilities, and actionable trade playbooks - published 3x a week.
| Platform | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 57 | Founded | 6 months ago | Last Issue | 7 days ago |
| Active | |||||

Three decisions, eight months, and a kingdom with no fallback left.
Three decisions. Eight months. Each one made sense at the time. On 14 September 2026, a smoke plume sixty miles long hung south of Medina, Houthi fighters held an island i...
The count that matters is agreements signed without you
On 17 August, on Fox News, the President of the United States said that if Oman got in the way in the Strait of Hormuz, "we'll bomb the shit out of them." Nine days later Oman signed...
Why escalation stopped paying, and who gets paid by the day.
On 27 February 2026 the Pentagon designated an American AI company a supply-chain risk — a label until then reserved for firms tied to foreign adversaries. Its offense was asking...
What Vance said out loud that Washington had already decided in silence.
On 13 August 2026, Vice President JD Vance told Fox News that cheap oil for Americans was goal number one. Within twenty-four hours, the President publicly contradict...
One Gulf state banked ninety days of water. The rest hold about a week.
On 14 August Iran's foreign minister told the Gulf states that their critical infrastructure would be struck if Washington resumed large-scale operations. Three desali...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Applying Prof. Jiang's analytical framework to live geopolitics: scenarios, Polymarket odds, and trade playbooks — published before markets reprice.
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