Quantus Insights: Election forecasting, economic and political analysis, commentary, and data-driven insights.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 172 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 7 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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quantus.substack.comLatest Issues
Presidential Exposure Model: September 2026 Midterms Outlook
The Presidential Exposure Model (PEM) measures midterm electoral risk to the governing party by combining three national signals: Presidential approval, partisan swing, and coalition size, with a CARVER-based strategic overlay. On current i...
The White Vote May Decide How Blue 2026 Becomes
The White Vote May Decide How Blue 2026 Becomes
The 2026 midterm environment increasingly looks Democratic. The more difficult question is not whether Democrats are ahead nationally, but how large that advantage can realistically become....
Republicans Have a Floor. They May Not Have a Majority
Sixty days out, we have raised our estimate of Democratic control of the House from 79 percent in August to 82 percent in September.
First, let’s discuss what did not happen. The environment did not change. There was no major world event,...
Arizona 2026: Hobbs Holds the Edge, but the Race Is Already Hardening
Arizona has spent the better part of a decade becoming one of America’s great political battlegrounds. Our latest survey suggests 2026 will be no different. (see the presentation and cross tabs here).
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Democratic Gov. Katie...
Florida GOP Primary: Our Final Read Before Election Day
With Florida Republicans voting tomorrow for their nominee for governor, the broader polling picture is fairly clear at the top even if there is still some uncertainty underneath it.
Based on the polls, our current estimate of the race loo...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Co-founder and lead pollster at Quantus Insights, providing data-driven analysis of elections, public opinion, economic and political trends.
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