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Quantus Insights

Jason Corley

Quantus Insights: Election forecasting, economic and political analysis, commentary, and data-driven insights.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues165Founded2 years agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

Graham Leads With South Carolina Primary Days Away

South Carolina Republicans are preparing to choose a Senate nominee under circumstances few could have imagined a month ago. (See technical report and cross tabs here).

The July 11 death of Sen. Lindsey Graham created a sudden vacancy,...

7 days ago
2

Donalds Dominates Florida’s Republican Primary

Florida’s Republican primary for governor is, at least for now, less a contest than a coronation.

Byron Donalds commands 49.6% of the vote, more than three times the support of his nearest rival. Jay Collins stands at 15.7%, followed by Ja...

14 days ago
1

The Democratic Year—Moderated

The fundamentals of the 2026 midterm election point toward the Democrats. The polling points in the same direction. But the polls, at least for now, are pointing there with less force.

That distinction matters.

A structural model of the e...

24 days ago
1

After the Loss: The 200-Seat Gravity of the Modern House

For most of the last century, midterm elections have followed a familiar law of American politics: The party holding the White House loses ground in the House.

The size of the defeat varies. The destination, however, has become surprisingl...

a month ago

The Inflation Break America Needed

For several years, the American consumer has been waiting for the fever to break. In June, it finally may have.

The Consumer Price Index fell 0.4% last month, the largest monthly decline since the economic lockdowns of April 2020. A month...

a month ago
2

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  • Jason Corley

    Co-founder and lead pollster at Quantus Insights, providing data-driven analysis of elections, public opinion, economic and political trends.

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