Reasonable People
Tom StaffordPsychological science on rationality, reason and persuasion
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 116 | Founded | 7 years ago | Last Issue | 9 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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tomstafford.substack.comLatest Issues
Social thinking
It’s embarrassing to realise mid-sentence that you don’t understand what you’re talking about.
If you have any self-awareness, I’m sure you can recall a time it has happened to you. If you have better luck than me then it hasn’t been at th...
Striking evidence for forced experimentation
February the 5th, 2014 was a typical 7 - 10 degrees Celsius in London, and rainy. That morning, as they did every weekday morning, millions of commuters woke up and got ready to travel to their places of work in the UK capital. Normally man...
Another algorithm is possible
We all know that social media drives people crazy, but how much of that is because, en masse, other people are infuriating, and how much is because the social media companies design the platform to surface the most infuriating content?
Sin...
AI systems out-persuade expert humans. Panic?
Kobi Hackenburg and colleagues have a new preprint with the strong title: “AI systems out-persuade expert humans” (15 June 2026). It’s a challenge to my previous belief that language models met, but did not exceed human persuasiveness.
The...
Why we like to believe other people are stupid
Last time, I wrote about the Lizardman constant, the idea that for any opinion poll a small proportion of respondents will endorse any proposition, even one as ridiculous as “Do you believe that shape-shifting reptilian people control our w...
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