The Murff Papers
Richard MurffDon't Give Up The Ship
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 36 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 13 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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4717.substack.comLatest Issues
Asymmetrical War, Asymmetrical Victory
The economies of asymmetrical warfare, at asymmetrical global chokepoints are, in fact, very asymmetrical. In late 2023, when the Houthi’s got restless about Gaza, they throttled Red Sea traffic at the Bab el Mandeb Strait with attack drone...
Four Bad Options in Iran
The possible endgames in Iran are starting to look like a Waffle House menu at 3am: Everything will probably give you heartburn, but booze and hunger make people optimistic. The administration is now using phrases like “degrade capability,”...
The Psychology of Miscalculation
Charlie Munger – long time wingman of Warren Buffet – was a literal wealth of insights. One of his best was that smart people often fail not because they lack intelligence, but because they get trapped inside flawed mental models: Biases re...
What Benghazi Taught Me About Fragile Systems
A few weeks after the attack on the US mission compound that killed US Ambassador Christopher Stevens, I was on a Turkish Air flight into Benghazi. “Qaddafi was a good ruler at first…” the doctor – a Libyan practicing in Ireland – told me,...
Fake News and Real Markets
This week – with the price of oil high, but not shockingly so – no lesser publication than The Economist ran a leader asking whether or not energy traders were in La La land. As I explain below, I’m not sure that they are. The fact that ene...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Founder of 4717 Insights; Writer, Analyst; author of Pothole of the Gods
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