Prediction Markets Newsletter
Harry CraneEducation, analysis, and news about prediction markets
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 28 | Founded | 4 years ago | Last Issue | 2 months ago |
| Active | |||||
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harrycrane.substack.comLatest Issues
Bookmaking (and Dressmaking)
This is the seventh in a series on the fundamentals of prediction markets. The previous article explained how parimutuel pools work.
A bookmaker offers fixed odds bets and serves as counterparty and operator for bets placed with c...
How Parimutuel Pools Work
This is the sixth in a series on the fundamentals of prediction markets. The previous article mapped the prediction market ecosystem: risk takers, middlemen, and enforcers.
A parimutuel pool aggregates stakes over all outcomes for...
The Prediction Market Ecosystem
This is the fifth in a series on the fundamentals of prediction markets.
The prediction market ecosystem is made up of three core constituencies: risk takers, middlemen, and enforcers. In most cases, it is sufficient to think of ri...
Prediction Markets: Real Financial Assets or just Sports Betting?
Are event contracts financial assets, or are they just sports bets with a different name?
Prediction market companies claim the former. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour has said “If we are gambling, then I think you’re basically calling the entire...
Stake, Payout, and the Language of Odds
This is the third in a series on the fundamentals of prediction markets. The previous article examined the anatomy of a bet and the challenge of scaling the basic concept of a bet from a simple handshake to a global industry.
The...
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| Subscribers | Engagement | 74 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
probability, complexity, gambling, common sense. co-founder http://researchers.one http://analytics.bet statistics professor
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