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認真思考

Samuel6788
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invest, AI/ML, venture, and thoughts

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Issues737Founded2 years agoLast Issue4 days ago
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Latest Issues

美股市場分析

布蘭特油價破百美元,七雄單日蒸發8,000億;AI帳單正式失控

週四美股遭受財報季最沉重的一擊。那斯達克重挫2.2%、標普500跌1.2%、道瓊跌1%(近500點),三大指數同步收跌。Alphabet跌7.1%、特斯拉崩跌14.5%,七雄合計單日蒸發7,970億美元市值,創2025年4月關稅崩盤以來最慘烈的單日表現。布蘭特原油首度收盤破百、WTI漲至92美元,美債十年期殖利率觸及4.71%,為2025年1月以來新高,市場對7月底升息的定價從一週前的12%直接跳升至3...

4 days ago
24
1

美股市場分析

Alphabet財報強勁卻盤後重挫;AI帳單失控,特斯拉現金流首度轉負

週三美股正規盤小幅收低,靜候七雄開幕財報。那斯達克跌 0.6%、標普 500 跌 0.1%、道瓊幾近平盤。市場重心在盤後——Alphabet 與特斯拉同日公布財報,結果一喜一憂,但市場給出的都是懲罰。


Alphabet:雲端爆炸成長,Capex超標震驚市場

Alphabet Q2 各項核心數據均超預期:總營收 1,198 億美元、年增 24%;Google Cloud...

5 days ago
32
2

美股市場分析

晶片股單日最強反彈終結三連跌

週二美股全面止跌反彈,連跌三日的頹勢就此打住。那斯達克漲1.3%、標普500漲0.9%、道瓊漲0.7%(約384點)。費城半導體指數創逾一個月最大單日漲幅,記憶體股領漲全場:Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM)大漲11%,美光漲12.2%至970美元,SK海力士ADR漲13.8%至171.94美元,SanDisk、西部數據、希捷各漲11%至14%。SOXX ETF漲5.5%,AMD漲8%、英特爾漲8.6%、Marvell...

6 days ago
26
1

美股市場分析

財報季前夕,三大指數開高走低;美光止跌

週一美股全面高開後逐步回落,收盤小幅下跌。道瓊跌 0.6%、標普 500 跌 0.2%、那斯達克幾近平盤(跌不到 0.1%)。半導體與記憶體股小漲不足 1%,並未延續上週跌勢,但也無力突破。本週為財報季最密集的一週——Alphabet 與特斯拉週三盤後報告,市場進入備戰等待模式。

WTI 原油上漲 0.7% 至 83 美元、布蘭特漲至 89 美元,三名美軍士兵遭伊朗軍事打擊身亡,川普在 Truth Social 警告「每次伊...

7 days ago
26

美股本週重要事項

本週美股超級財報季將進入首波科技巨頭重頭戲。在全球資金與供應鏈高度緊繃的當下,市場最核心的聚焦在於 「AI 基礎建設投報率(ROI)」 與 「傳統半導體景氣復甦拐點」。



三大觀察重點

1. AI 基礎建設巨頭:Alphabet (GOOGL)

市場目前對 Hyperscalers 破萬億美元的資本支出(CapEx)已變得非常神經質。Alphabet 的財報將是檢驗 AI 實質變現能力的試金石。

  • CapEx 與指引...
8 days ago
19

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  • Samuel6788

    I work in capital markets, tracking the pulse of stocks and investments. Beyond that, I explore philosophy to understand the deeper connections between humanity and the universe.

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