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認真思考

Samuel6788
Hundreds of paid subscribers

invest, AI/ML, venture, and thoughts

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PricingFreemiumPublishesDaily
Issues782Founded2 years agoLast Issue4 days ago
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Latest Issues

美股市場分析

Waller鴿派發言打破升息預期,三大指數暴漲

週四美股強力反彈,道瓊漲1.2%(逾600點)、標普500漲1.1%、那斯達克漲1.4%,為自8月4日以來最佳單日表現。聯準會理事Waller在演講中拋出鴿派訊號,9 月升息機率從前日的 63% 瞬間腰斬至 50%,市場如釋重負。七雄全數收紅,輝達漲近 2%、特斯拉漲 5.4%、SpaceX 漲 6.5%;Robinhood 暴漲 17% 領銜標普 500;軟體族群全面慶功,Snowflake 漲 17%、Palant...

4 days ago
21
1

美股市場分析

三連跌終結,Broadcom 財報逆轉敘事

週三美股三大指數小幅反彈,道瓊漲 0.6%、標普500漲 0.5%、那斯達克漲 0.5%,終結連續三日跌勢。然而油價維持高位(WTI站上 91 美元、布蘭特 95.55 美元)、10年期美債殖利率盤中短暫觸及 4.82%(2023 年11月以來最高),市場在兩難之間以微漲收場。七雄中輝達漲逾3%、Meta 漲逾 2.5% 領銜,Dell 延續財報後慶功暴漲 15.8%。ADP 私部門就業僅增 3.8 萬人(預期4.7萬人)...

5 days ago
19

挺過 SaaS 末日論風暴的倖存者

並非所有SaaS公司命運都一樣悲慘,有些股票挺過來了,例如 Salesforce、Crowdstrike、Okta,而且活得很好

5 days ago
9
1
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美股市場分析

美伊衝突推油價至90美元,10年期殖利率逼近5%警戒線

週二(9月1日)美股九月首個交易日即告重挫,道瓊跌0.8%(約420點)、標普500跌0.7%、那斯達克跌1%。雙重壓力同步引爆:美軍對伊朗IRGC目標展開最新一輪打擊(川普前晚向Fox News宣告「我們要重擊他們」),WTI原油飆升5.6%至90.55美元、布蘭特升5.1%至95.15美元;10年期美債殖利率升至4.77至4.80%,創2025年1月以來新高,9月升息機率從上週約40%一路跳升至68%至70...

6 days ago
19
1

美股市場分析

八月寫下五年最強表現,九月卻是歷史最弱月

週一(8月31日)美股以小跌收尾,為八月畫下句點。道瓊跌0.7%、標普500跌0.3%、那斯達克跌0.1%,月線卻是亮麗收場:那斯達克月漲3.9%、標普500漲2.6%、道瓊漲1.3%,S&P 500與那斯達克並列2021年以來最強八月表現。然而九月歷史上是美股最弱的月份(S&P 500平均跌1.1%、道瓊平均跌1.1%、那斯達克平均跌0.8%),疊加地緣緊張、通膨壓力、升息預期三重逆風,Baird策略師Mayfield直言...

7 days ago
16

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  • Samuel6788

    I work in capital markets, tracking the pulse of stocks and investments. Beyond that, I explore philosophy to understand the deeper connections between humanity and the universe.

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