
invest, AI/ML, venture, and thoughts
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週四的市場,道瓊漲 1.1%(約 550 點),S&P 500 漲 0.3%,而 Nasdaq 則上演了一場驚險戲碼:盤中一度跌逾 1.4%,最終收漲 0.1%——這是 4 月 7 日以來最大的單日盤中逆轉幅度。
帶動道瓊的不是科技,而是 Nike、Salesforce、Home Depot 這類傳統消費與企業軟體股。這個細節本身就是一個訊號:資金正在板塊間悄悄遷徙。
盤前的數據並不友善。九月 PPI 月增 1....
週三的開盤,市場便帶著一種沉重的預感。九月 CPI 在開盤前公布:整體年增 3.7%,高於預期的 3.6%;核心 CPI 月增 0.3%,同樣超出市場預估的 0.2%。數字本身的偏差幅度並不算大,但在一個已經高度警戒的市場裡,哪怕一點點超預期都足以改變氣氛的整個走向。
結果:Nasdaq 跌 1.9%,S&P 500 跌 1.1%,道瓊跌 0.1%。10 年期殖利率盤中一度跳升至 5.33%,尾盤略微...
週二三大指數小幅收跌,道瓊跌0.4%(-180點)、那斯達克跌0.2%、標普500幾近平盤。費城半導體指數連跌六日,創2025年5月以來最長連跌記錄。四大銀行——摩根大通、高盛、花旗、富國——同日公布財報,結果喜憂參半,盤中漲幅午後全數回吐,金融股普遍收低。Meta連續兩日收漲、微軟創歷史新高,是今日少數的亮點。10年期殖利率小幅回落兩個基點至5.22%。明日焦點:9月CPI。
週一美股走勢分歧。道瓊漲0.4%(+195點),標普500微跌0.1%,那斯達克跌0.4%。債市因哥倫布日休市,少了公債殖利率的即時干擾,但股市承壓的核心依然是AI估值與中國記憶體競爭的雙重陰影。本週是財報季真正開跑的一週:週二摩根大通、高盛、富國銀行、花旗率先登場;週三公布9月CPI;週四PPI。這是Q3以來最密集的數據與業績驗證窗口。
本週開始新的財報季,照例由大型金融股與 ASML、台積電打頭陣,希望能延續上季優越的成績。
CPI(週三 08:30): 這是 10 月是否再升息的關鍵數據。整體 CPI 月增預期從 +0.4% 升到 +0.6%,年增從 3.4% 升到 3.6%。核心 CPI 月增預期反而從 +0.3% 降到 +0.2%,年增 2.5%。壓力主要來自能源與食品。若核心符合或低於預期,目前約八成的 10 月升息定價可能降溫。
PPI(週四...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
I work in capital markets, tracking the pulse of stocks and investments. Beyond that, I explore philosophy to understand the deeper connections between humanity and the universe.
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