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Semi-Lucid Thoughts

0xsmac

crypto, markets, venture, humans, history @0xsmac on twitter

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesMonthly
Issues40Founded4 years agoLast Issuea month ago
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Latest Issues

Let The Bubble Wash Over You

Weather is a uniquely interesting field because all of the tools we use to accurately forecast the future have improved over the last 50 years. And as you’d expect, our ability to predict the weather has similarly improved. Today’s 5-day fo...

a month ago
98
7

If You're Not First, You're (Maybe? Potentially? Probably?) Last

One of the most common traps investors fall into regardless of asset class or sector looks something like this: Company A leads an emerging growth category. Company B is #2 or #3 in said category but has comparable technology & trades at a...

2 months ago
27

Splitting Fives: The House Edge On Wonder

Optimization is a great servant and a terrible god. When it’s your servant, it makes your life easier. It reduces suffering, prevents avoidable harm, helps you build bridges that don’t collapse and airplanes that land. But when it’s your go...

5 months ago
43
7

Déjà Vu All Over Again

This is year 4 of publicly sharing how I’m thinking about markets heading into a new year — you can read last year’s post here.

If you don’t care enough to go back to that here are the quick highlights, though I think last year was especia...

5 months ago
44
1

Two Kites Dancing In A Hurricane

“Success is very intoxicating. It is very difficult to handle all the fame and adulation. It corrupts you. You start to believe that everybody around you is in awe of you, that everybody wants you, and that everybody is thinking of you all...

6 months ago
35
4

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