Sentinel minutes
Nuño Sempere, Vidur KapurBlog & minutes for the Sentinel team.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 24 | Subscribers | Read | blog.sentinel-team.org |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Sentinel minutes for week #43/2024
Status: greenish; forecasters did not anticipate events spiraling into global catastrophes this week, but tensions between Israel and Iran remain high while mpox continues to spread and H5N1 surveillance remains spotty.
How Likely Are Various Precursors of Existential Risk?
Seven Samotsvety forecasters give their probabilities for different possible catastrophes to lead to more than 1M direct deaths in any one year, in any of the next 10 years. This post presents results, starting with a table which presents t...
Sentinel minutes for week #42/2024
Status: Greenish. The prospect of a larger regional war receded as Israel said it would attack Iranian military rather than nuclear or oil targets. Mpox and H5N1 continue to pose pandemic threats.
Sentinel minutes for week #41/2024
# Geopolitics
Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Researcher at the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute, programmer, and forecaster. I write a monthly forecasting newsletter @ forecasting.substack.com
Utilitarian, aspiring rationalist, effective altruist. Superforecaster at Good Judgment. I studied Medicine and Public Health.
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