Sentinel Global Risks Watch
Nuño Sempere, Tolga Bilge, Vidur Kapur, belikewaterWe identify and discuss the most important warning signs of global catastrophic risks for you by parsing millions of news pieces and discussing them with our elite forecasters.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 117 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 9 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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blog.sentinel-team.orgLatest Issues
🟩 Russian drone hits Romanian apartment block, Ebola deaths rise at slower pace, Anthropic surpasses OpenAI valuation || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #22/2026
Executive summary
Geopolitics: A Russian drone hit an apartment building in Romania, injuring two people. Israel continues to strike Lebanon and Gaza.
- Will at least 10,000 deaths in Gaza and Lebanon be attributed to Israeli military...
🟩 Renewed US-Iran negotiations, OpenAI and DeepMind models solve Erdos problems, Ebola deaths increase || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #21/2026
Executive summary
Geopolitics: Trump said that a deal with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is near. Rubio called Cuba a leading state sponsor of terror and questioned whether diplomacy with the regime would work.
- Will the US car...
🟩 US and China discuss AI guardrails, Ebola declared a Public Health Emergency, Trump and Iran trade barbs || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #20/2026
Executive summary
Technology and AI: The US and China discussed AI guardrails to mitigate risks from frontier AI models.
- Will the US and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027 in which both governments state...
🟡 US-Iran stalemate continues, Putin says Ukraine war may come to an end, White House considers AI executive order || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #19/2026
Executive summary
Geopolitics: Donald Trump called Iran’s response to the US’ latest peace proposal “totally unacceptable”. Vladimir Putin hinted that the Russia-Ukraine war may be nearing an end.
- Will Russia and Ukraine end the war...
🟡 Iran says it will target US naval vessels, UAE leaves OPEC, GPT-5.5 similar to Mythos on cyber tasks || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #18/2026
Executive summary
Geopolitics: Iran unveiled a fresh peace proposal, but Trump was not satisfied with it and says that Iran has not paid a big enough price for the war to end yet. The US said it would guide stranded vessels through t...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Head of foresight at Sentinel, a team covering the top global catastrophic risks each week. Also write a monthly forecasting newsletter at forecasting.substack.com
AI Policy Researcher at ControlAI
Superforecaster at Good Judgment. Also forecasting at Sentinel, Swift Centre, Samotsvety, RAND and a hedge fund. Impartial beneficence enthusiast.
Forecasting.
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