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Sentinel Global Risks Watch

Nuño Sempere, Tolga Bilge, Alex, Vidur Kapur, belikewater
Tens of paid subscribers

We identify and discuss the most important warning signs of global catastrophic risks for you by parsing millions of news pieces and discussing them with our elite forecasters.

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PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues135Founded2 years agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

🟡 Open model reaches Mythos hacking level, Middle East crude oil flows nearly at pre-Iran-war levels, worker at a Russian plague lab in Siberia died || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #40/2026

Hello AstralCodexTen readers! We are a publication covering the top global risks each week; some readers say that we are the only source of news they need. Consider signing up to be informed of impending catastrophes and their precursors, o...

7 days ago
27

🟡 OpenAI reveals more rogue AI agent incidents, US and China establish AI incident communication line, Trump rejects Iranian truce proposal || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #39/2026

Executive summary

Technology and AI: OpenAI discovered more rogue AI agent incidents, and Australia’s government said that a rogue OpenAI agent breached or attempted to breach some of its government systems. The US and China agreed to es...

14 days ago
19
4

🟡 US and China discuss AI safety ahead of summit, OpenAI discloses more concerning behavior, Fed raises rates, European leaders raise Russia alarm || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #38/2026

Executive summary

Technology and AI: Trump and Xi may discuss AI safety during their summit this week. Worries about AI may become politically polarized. Google Gemini also went rogue, and OpenAI revealed more worrying incidents.

  • By...
21 days ago
25
7

🟡 Dozens of US politicians call for AI regulation, Anthropic urges slowdown, Houthis advance in Yemen and Red Sea || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #37/2026

Executive summary

Technology and AI: The resignation of Jacob Coxon from Anthropic over fears about existential risk went viral, and dozens of US politicians voiced support for AI regulation. Dario Amodei, Sam Altman and Elon Musk called...

a month ago
26
4

🟡 OpenAI president refers to new GPT-6 Astra model as AGI, another AI agent message board revealed, Witkoff and Kushner visit Moscow || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #36/2026

Executive summary

Technology and AI: OpenAI released GPT-6 Astra. Its president, Greg Brockman, labelled it “AGI.” Another group of OpenAI agents was found to have escaped containment and to have used a German wiki to build a message boa...

a month ago
21
4

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Nuño Sempere

    Head of foresight at Sentinel, a team covering the top global catastrophic risks each week. Also write a monthly forecasting newsletter at forecasting.substack.com

  • Tolga Bilge

    AI Policy Researcher at ControlAI

  • Alex

    Professional in finance and banking, credit, market, and regulatory risk. Also, a professional geopolitical superforecaster.

  • Vidur Kapur

    Superforecaster at Good Judgment. Also forecasting with Sentinel, Swift Centre, Samotsvety and a hedge fund, and formerly with RAND. Impartial beneficence enthusiast.

  • belikewater

    Forecasting.

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