Signalpha: The Entropy of Money
Marcelo LabreDecoding the hidden architecture of markets to derive signal and investment opportunities from the debt super-cycle.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 8 | Subscribers | Read | signalpha.substack.com |
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The Shadow Reckoning: Private Credit, Shadow Banking, and the Trigger for The Big Turning
In “The Big Turning: The Terminal Phase of the Debt Super-Cycle (2019-2026)” we traced the convergence of forces signaling the reversal of the 80-year post-war debt super-cycle. Sovereign debt at 122% of GDP. Interest costs consuming 19% of...
The Big Turning: The Terminal Phase of the Debt Super-Cycle (2019-2026)
In “The Great Stagnation: The Post-GFC Hidden Depression (2009-2019)” we saw how the 2019 repo crisis proved the system’s terminal dependency on central bank liquidity. The overnight repo rate spiked from roughly 2% to 10% intraday, forcing...
The Great Stagnation: The Post-GFC Hidden Depression (2009-2019)
In “Winter Arrives: The Global Financial Crisis of 2008” I covered how the greatest financial bubble in history collapsed. The response—TARP, QE, ZIRP—stopped the bleeding but didn’t cure the disease. Instead, the 2008 crisis transformed th...
Winter Arrives: The Global Financial Crisis of 2008
We saw in Prelude to Winter: The Architecture of the 2008 Crisis (2000-2007) how the stage was set. Cheap money from the Greenspan Put. Chinese vendor financing suppressing interest rates. Wall Street’s alchemy turning subprime mortgages in...
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