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Signalpha: The Entropy of Money

Marcelo Labre

Decoding the hidden architecture of markets to derive signal and investment opportunities from the debt super-cycle.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues9Founded5 months agoLast Issuea month ago
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Latest Issues

The Fracture Point: Bank Fragility and the Anatomy of the Next Financial Crisis

In “The Shadow Reckoning” I traced how $2 trillion in private credit, built during the ZIRP era to fill the vacuum left by regulated banking retreat, began cracking. BlackRock, Blackstone, and Blue Owl gated over $150 billion in investor ca...

a month ago
7
2

The Shadow Reckoning: Private Credit, Shadow Banking, and the Trigger for The Big Turning

In “The Big Turning: The Terminal Phase of the Debt Super-Cycle (2019-2026)” we traced the convergence of forces signaling the reversal of the 80-year post-war debt super-cycle. Sovereign debt at 122% of GDP. Interest costs consuming 19% of...

2 months ago
18
1

The Big Turning: The Terminal Phase of the Debt Super-Cycle (2019-2026)

In “The Great Stagnation: The Post-GFC Hidden Depression (2009-2019)” we saw how the 2019 repo crisis proved the system’s terminal dependency on central bank liquidity. The overnight repo rate spiked from roughly 2% to 10% intraday, forcing...

3 months ago
10

The Great Stagnation: The Post-GFC Hidden Depression (2009-2019)

In “Winter Arrives: The Global Financial Crisis of 2008” I covered how the greatest financial bubble in history collapsed. The response—TARP, QE, ZIRP—stopped the bleeding but didn’t cure the disease. Instead, the 2008 crisis transformed th...

4 months ago
5

Winter Arrives: The Global Financial Crisis of 2008

We saw in Prelude to Winter: The Architecture of the 2008 Crisis (2000-2007) how the stage was set. Cheap money from the Greenspan Put. Chinese vendor financing suppressing interest rates. Wall Street’s alchemy turning subprime mortgages in...

4 months ago
3

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