The Iran War is heating back up. According to The New York Times, “Airstrikes across the Middle East on Wednesday and in the predawn hours on Thursday drew more...

5 days ago

709

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What to make of Michigan

El-Sayed campaigning in Detroit on Sunday. Getty Images.

It’s just past 4 a.m. here on the East Coast, and as I write this, Abdul El-Sayed leads Haley Stevens by only 1.4 points in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate with 95+ percent of...

7 days ago

341

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What Trump's latest slump means for the midterms

Trump’s approval rating has closely tracked changes in gas prices. Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images of a gas pump in Asheville, North Carolina on April 17.

Next week, we’ll launch our midterms model, with complete forecasts of the 43...

8 days ago

142

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Nate Silver

https://www.natesilver.net/ Really just a poker player at heart, but I sometimes make election forecasts and write about things.

Joel Wertheimer

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Joseph George

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