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Polygraph

Stephen Semler
Tens of paid subscribers

Visualizing politics through a class lens. A newsletter by Stephen Semler.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues350Founded6 years agoLast Issue9 days ago
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Artwork for Polygraph

Latest Issues

Trump’s food assistance cliff

IN THIS NEWSLETTER: Trump has cut off food aid to more than 5 million people. But is Trump’s SNAP cut worse than Biden’s?

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9 days ago
26

ICE is sitting on $100 billion

IN THIS NEWSLETTER: ICE can’t spend its budget fast enough.

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One agency, two windfalls

Since last July, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) has received two windfalls.

  • July 4, 2025: ICE gets $75 billion...
19 days ago
25

Why 98 Democrats ignored voters and opposed an Israel aid cut

IN THIS NEWSLETTER: I compare House votes on aid to Israel with US public opinion and pro-Israel money.

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Votes on Israel aid vs. US public opinion

The House voted on an amendment last week that would have stripped...

a month ago
39

What will end up in the GOP’s $95 billion reconciliation bill?

Polygraph | Newsletter n°346 | 18 Jul 2026

IN THIS NEWSLETTER: Republicans have teed up a third reconciliation bill. Here’s what it will likely include.

a month ago
2
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US spent $103 billion on the Iran War in four months

IN THIS NEWSLETTER: A summary of my new Iran War cost estimate, and why it differs so sharply from prevailing estimates.

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2 months ago
37

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  • Stephen Semler

    Producer of charts & policy analysis for the working class. Now: Senior Fellow, Center for International Policy; Cofounder, Security Policy Reform Institute; Contributor, Costs of War Project. Previously: humanitarian sector, lobbying, volleyball.

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