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StW's Expected Value

Chris DeMuth Jr

The hunt for +EV ideas.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesDaily
Issues110Founded3 years agoLast Issue22 days ago
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Latest Issues

Who Won the World Cup?

Disclaimer / Disclosure

Goooooalll!!

Spain did what they needed to secure my $1 million pool. Thanks Spain. They dominated the tournament, consistent with their ranking in both the FIFA and PELE ranking.

Consistent

Balanced

Spain th...

22 days ago

My $1 Million Bet

Disclaimer / Disclosure

Place you bets

I’m splitting at $1 mil pool if Spain wins. The dollar figure will be laughably small after dilution but it makes it fun. I have been long Spain from a 17% chance to 59% and have to contemplate hedge...

24 days ago

Arb Arb

Disclaimer / Disclosure

Expression of dude who started a $155 billion company with his brother

Up > 80% on Hiive

Stripe teamed up with private equity firm Advent to bid ~$53 billion for PayPal (PYPL). The target has struggled with compet...

a month ago
1

Kalshi Pro

Disclaimer / Disclosure

Kalshi founder Luana Lopes Lara

Full-service exchange

Kalshi launched Kalshi Pro, a professional desktop trading workstation. It runs on the same account, the balance, and exchange as the standard Kalshi app. It a...

a month ago

Back To School?*

December 17, 2012

It is worth maxing out IRA or 401(k) plans, but then what? What can you do to protect a substantial amount of dollars from capital gains taxes? Tax-advantaged retirement accounts are great, but the contribution limit is...

a month ago
1

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  • Chris DeMuth Jr

    Husband to 1, father to 3. Loves CrossFit, MMA, & mountains.

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