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StW's Expected Value

Chris DeMuth Jr

The hunt for +EV ideas.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesDaily
Issues112Founded3 years agoLast Issue12 days ago
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Latest Issues

Free(ish) Wine

Disclaimer / Disclosure

Last Bottle

The Last Bottle Marathon is on. $10 off for first orders and free shipping. That makes some bottles close to free. Get them here.

12 days ago
1
1

$200

Disclaimer / Disclosure

Varo

To get $200 join Varo and receive $500 or more in qualifying direct deposits within 45 days of account opening. Offer ends August 31st, 2026.

21 days ago

Who Won the World Cup?

Disclaimer / Disclosure

Goooooalll!!

Spain did what they needed to secure my $1 million pool. Thanks Spain. They dominated the tournament, consistent with their ranking in both the FIFA and PELE ranking.

Consistent

Balanced

Spain th...

a month ago

My $1 Million Bet

Disclaimer / Disclosure

Place you bets

I’m splitting at $1 mil pool if Spain wins. The dollar figure will be laughably small after dilution but it makes it fun. I have been long Spain from a 17% chance to 59% and have to contemplate hedge...

a month ago

Arb Arb

Disclaimer / Disclosure

Expression of dude who started a $155 billion company with his brother

Up > 80% on Hiive

Stripe teamed up with private equity firm Advent to bid ~$53 billion for PayPal (PYPL). The target has struggled with compet...

2 months ago
1

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  • Chris DeMuth Jr

    Husband to 1, father to 3. Loves CrossFit, MMA, & mountains.

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