Swiss Macro and History
Stefan GerlachStefan Gerlach writes about monetary policy as it is actually practiced. Based in Zurich, he is Chief Economist at EFG Bank and a former Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Ireland.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 165 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 9 days ago |
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swissmacroandhistory.substack.comLatest Issues
Markets Are Overestimating Kevin Warsh's Influence
Source: Federal Reserve Board
Many investors believe that Kevin Warsh will quickly reshape the Federal Reserve. They worry that the changes will do more to please the Administration than to improve monetary policymaking. That concern is un...
Reform Without Rationale: The Case of Kevin Warsh
Most commentary on Kevin Warsh’s first press conference as Fed chair has focused on what it means for interest rates in 2026. That misses a more important question: what the press conference revealed about the intellectual framework that wi...
This Week's Riksbank Decision: The Story Is Not the Rate
The Riksbank announces its policy decision on Wednesday. The policy rate will almost certainly remain unchanged at 1.75% as the Executive Board waits to see whether the inflation scare of the past month is fading.
Current economic conditio...
The SNB's Next Challenge is Disinflation
The SNB is almost certain to leave interest rates unchanged at 0% on June 18. Inflation is low. Growth is modest. The franc is strong but not alarmingly so. Nothing in the data argues for a move in either direction.
Thanks for reading Swis...
Anchored Inflation Expectations Are No Reason for the ECB to Hesitate
Inflation expectations in the euro area look reassuringly well anchored. The ECB should not take much comfort from that. Anchored expectations may simply reflect public trust that the ECB will act if needed, and that trust can erode quickly...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Stefan Gerlach analyses monetary policy with an insider’s view of institutional behaviour — how central banks think, communicate and decide. He is Chief Economist at EFG Bank in Zurich and formerly Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Ireland.
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