Swiss Macro and History
Stefan GerlachStefan Gerlach writes about monetary policy as it is actually practiced. Based in Zurich, he is Chief Economist at EFG Bank and a former Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Ireland.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 157 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 9 days ago |
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swissmacroandhistory.substack.comLatest Issues
Will the SNB Raise Rates in June?
With inflation rising and tensions in the Gulf continuing, some market commentators are reassessing the widely held view that the SNB will leave interest rates unchanged until at least the end of the year. Will it?
Thanks for reading Swiss...
The ECB and the case for doing nothing
In April and July 2011, the ECB raised interest rates in response to rising energy prices. By November and December, it had reversed course, cutting rates as the euro area economy deteriorated sharply. It remains one of the clearest example...
Riksbank Will Hold as Energy Risks Build
Sweden goes into the Riksbank decision on May 7 with inflation well below target, but unlikely to stay there. Policy is on hold at 1.75%, as a sharp inflation undershoot collides with rising energy risks, leaving policymakers waiting for cl...
Better to Be Late Than Wrong, For Now
Source: Trading Economics
Last week, the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Japan and Bank of Canada all left interest rates unchanged. A common thread behind these decisions is a simple principle: central ban...
The UK Inflation Process Is Still Intact
Markets behave as if the UK inflation process has changed. The data suggest it has not.
Britain has been hit by one shock after another since 2020 — pandemic supply disruptions, the energy crisis after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the gi...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Stefan Gerlach analyses monetary policy with an insider’s view of institutional behaviour — how central banks think, communicate and decide. He is Chief Economist at EFG Bank in Zurich and formerly Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Ireland.
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