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Thin Ice Macroeconomics

Spyros Andreopoulos

Macro. Central Banks. Europe.

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Latest Issues

Warsh and Fed Communication

Kevin Warsh’s apparent desire to do away with forward guidance is a welcome start. But the more important question is not the specific mechanics of Fed communication—the dot plot, press conferences, and so on—but whether he is willing to go...

3 days ago
9
2

ECB Preview: Nearing Point of No Return for Second Hike

The ECB will embark on an insurance hike on June 11 to signal vigilance on inflation. Real-time indications of broadening inflation and additional pipeline pressures imply we are nearing the “point of no return” for a second hike. A third h...

13 days ago
9
9

Warsh at the Fed: Doves Have Taken Flight

Kevin Warsh arrives at the Fed at a challenging time. Any designs he may have had to lower fed funds have fallen victim to the situation. Christopher Waller’s hawkish turn is indicative of the FOMC mood, and the numbers for a regulation-dri...

25 days ago
19
5

The Case for Euro Stablecoins

In a recent speech, ECB President Lagarde has argued against euro stablecoins. I find instead that euro stablecoins are necessary to defend the euro’s international position – and that they can complement the digital euro. (Long and nerdy p...

a month ago
17
12

Geopolitical World

Ahead of the Trump-Xi summit, some reflections on politics, international relations, and the global economy.

Photo by Matthew Pearce on Unsplash

A few weeks ago, I attended two events that I thought might be worth reporting back on...

a month ago
12
7

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  • Spyros Andreopoulos

    Economist and consultant writing on all matters macro and markets. Ex European Central Bank, where I conducted monetary policy analysis and prepared meetings and communication. I have also worked at global investment banks. Personal views always.

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