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Systematic Strategies

Systematic Strategies ❖
Platform
Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesDaily
Issues10Founded2 months agoLast Issue4 days ago
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Latest Issues

Can You Keep Bitcoin’s Upside Without the 83% Drawdown? — Strategies #2 & #3

Few assets have rewarded long-term holders as dramatically. Few have also asked investors to tolerate so much along the way.

Bitcoin can rise hundreds of percent, fall 50% or more, recover, and then do it again. And unlike a stock, there a...

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The Market Has 4 States. Here’s How I Measure Them

Investors are surrounded by opinions.

Bullish forecasts. Bearish forecasts. Macro narratives. Fed commentary. Earnings stories. Social media charts. Predictions about recessions, bubbles, inflation, and valuations.

The problem is not that...

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The Signal I Trust More Than the S&P 500

Last week, I wrote that credit was the line I cared about and trusted most.

Not because equities do not matter, but because markets can be noisy. A weak sector, a difficult earnings report or a sudden political headline can make the index...

2 months ago
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The Number Quietly Moving Almost Everything You Own

One Note derived from my latest Macro Lens generated much more interest than I expected:

Real yields matter. They climbed alongside nominal Treasury yields last week. That raises the hurdle rate for long-duration growth valuations.

I mu...

2 months ago
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If Credit Breaks, I Change My Mind. Until Then, I’m Doing This

A few subscribers asked the obvious question after the last Macro Series piece:

Interesting. But what do we actually do with it?

Fair question.

My answer is simpler than the macro story itself.

I would not be making a big bearish bet on...

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  • Systematic Strategies ❖

    Building the investing resource I wish I had when I started. In professional markets, retail investors and traders face a costly learning curve. I share tested strategies, weekly research and practical quant concepts to help you close that gap.

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