
On predicting the future
| Platform | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 108 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 11 days ago |
| Active | |||||

I didn’t come to Canada to avoid the Fourth of July. The first couple weeks of July are simply the time I have every year to visit the beautiful lake where my great-grandfather built a home. But I didn’t miss the fireworks this year. It wou...
The Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool, April 30, 2026 (G. Edward Johnson)
The key to understanding the Trump administration is to assume it’s mostly bullshitting.
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My assumption, as a forecaster, is that the Trump administrat...
The US Department of Justice, February 19, 2026 (Quintin Soloviev CC-BY-4.0)
President Trump’s obsession with celebrating himself is characteristic of personalist leaders. It’s also a clear sign he doesn’t deserve the praise he demands.
B...
In this episode of Talking About the Future, I talk with about how the proliferation of personalist regimes makes the international system less stable and less predictable. Seva Gunitsky is an associate professor of political science and t...
We found Tacoma inside the engine compartment of an old Toyota Tacoma. It was raining hard, and he was crying. We could hear that he was on top of the engine just under the hood. We were afraid of what would happen if anyone started the tru...
Subscribers, engagement, traffic and sponsorship for Telling the Future.
| Subscribers | Engagement | 67 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accepts Sponsors | Estimated Cost per Ad | ||||
The writers behind this newsletter.
I am a superforecaster who forecasts professionally for Good Judgment, Metaculus, and the Swift Centre. I have contributed to The Economist, The Washington Monthly, The National Interest, and California Magazine.
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