
On predicting the future
| Platform | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 105 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 7 days ago |
| Active | |||||

In this episode of Talking About the Future, I talk with about how the proliferation of personalist regimes makes the international system less stable and less predictable. Seva Gunitsky is an associate professor of political science and t...
We found Tacoma inside the engine compartment of an old Toyota Tacoma. It was raining hard, and he was crying. We could hear that he was on top of the engine just under the hood. We were afraid of what would happen if anyone started the tru...
President Trump at a press conference at Mar-a-Lago, December 28, 2025 (White House/Daniel Torok)
American foreign policy depends on the fantasy that America doesn’t need allies.
“We don’t need anybody. We’re the strongest nation in the w...
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei at TechCrunch Disrupt in 2023 (Kimberly White/Getty Images CC BY 2.0 image has been cropped)
We need to take developments in AI seriously because they’re about to affect all of us.
Something big is supposedly ha...
Rep. Mary Peltola (D-AK) at a Planned Parenthood Rally, July 9, 2022 (photo used via Creative Commons license courtesy Paxson Woelber, the Alaska Landmine)
Democrats have a chance to retake the Senate in 2026 because the political environm...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
I am a superforecaster who forecasts professionally for Good Judgment, Metaculus, and the Swift Centre. I have contributed to The Economist, The Washington Monthly, The National Interest, and California Magazine.
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