The Baseball Nerd
Baseball Nerd, The Shea Hello NewsletterThe baseball analytics newsletter built on proprietary models. Advanced stats, breakout potential, fantasy baseball edge. Numbers, Not Feelings.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 266 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 19 hours ago |
| Active | |||||
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thebaseballnerd.substack.comLatest Issues
Why Is Your Fantasy Team Still Using the Same Rankings From March?
Three players to add, two to sell, and one buy-low candidate the market has completely abandoned.
Your draft board is four months old. The market has barely touched it. You are still looking at players through the lens of what they did las...
The 2026 Cy Young Race Isn’t What Your ERA Leaderboard Says
Jacob Misiorowski is posting a number the metric almost never sees. The AL race just flipped. And three of the ERAs you trust are already broken.
Open the ERA leaderboard right now and you will build the wrong Cy Young ballot. That is not...
The Pre-All-Star Leaderboard That Changes Your Second Half
More than half the season is gone, and right now the decisions that determine the push for October are being made.
The trade offers are taking form. The lineups are mostly set. The managers, the GMs, the fantasy players who have been watch...
The Model That Loves Chris Sale Also Says He's About to Fall Apart
Chris Sale is pitching like a Cy Young candidate. The ERA says so. The highlights say so. The feelings vote is already writing his name in.
Our model agrees he’s been good. It also says his ERA is living on borrowed time by more than a run...
Every Level Had a Doubter. Every One Was Wrong.
At 11 years old, Jim Abbott threw a no-hitter in his first Little League start. He was born without a right hand, and even at that age, people around the game had already started doing the math on how far he could realistically go. The math...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I love the game of baseball and the stories it gives us. I'm different in that I don't get caught up in all the hot takes and gut feelings. Instead, I translate numbers to words to tell the real story.
Dedicated to all things New York Mets. Articles. Pictures. Insight. Exclusive features & content. The wins, the chaos, & everything in between.
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