The Baseball Nerd
Baseball NerdThe baseball analytics newsletter built on proprietary models. Advanced stats, breakout potential, fantasy baseball edge. Numbers, Not Feelings.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 236 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 7 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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thebaseballnerd.substack.comLatest Issues
I Made Six Regression Calls on Opening Week. Here's How Wrong I Was.
Six weeks ago, with a grand total of six games played, I published a piece telling you which players to sell high and which ones the market was sleeping on. The analytical basis was real. The SPARK and FADE frameworks were built for exactly...
The Division Line
The AL East is officially chaos.
Tampa Bay went 1-and-5 last week and is now clinging to the division lead on winning percentage. Aaron Judge is on the IL with a rib stress fracture. Austin Wells is out too. The Yankees are banged up and t...
I have nothing to show for it
Roger Maris hit 61 home runs in 1961. That is the American League record. It stood for 61 years, until Aaron Judge broke it in 2022. For most of those 61 years, half of baseball insisted it didn’t count.
Maris spent the rest of his life kn...
2026 SPARK Scores: James Wood, Chase Burns & the June Breakout Leaderboard
James Wood leads hitters at 80.0, Chase Burns and Payton Tolle top the rotation, and Mason Miller's 55% strikeout rate is the most dominant relief score in the model.
A disclaimer before we get into it: these are the latest numbers from ou...
Eight Straight, With Their Best Hitter on the Shelf
Seattle was supposed to be in the 2026 postseason. They were 25-29 and going nowhere. Two under, stuck in the middle of the languishing AL West, the kind of team you stop checking on. They had just lost the reigning AL MVP runner-up to the...
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| Subscribers | Engagement | 80 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accepts Sponsors | Estimated Cost per Ad | ||||
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I love the game of baseball and the stories it gives us. I'm different in that I don't get caught up in all the hot takes and gut feelings. Instead, I translate numbers to words to tell the real story.
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