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The BondEconomics Newsletter

Brian Romanchuk

Discussion of bond market economics

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PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues367Founded5 years agoLast Issue8 days ago
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Latest Issues

Random Observations

I have mainly been looking at my inflation manuscript. It seems to be in good shape, not entirely sure when I will pull the trigger on it. I updated the figures, and I will need to make sure that comments remain in sync with what is shown....

8 days ago
4
1

Trump Aggression Returns

The Trump White House has decided to ramp up its international aggression, threatening a ground war in Iran and announcing yet another wave of tariffs (particularly at Canada). Once again, these international developments could potentially...

19 days ago
6
3

The U.K. Debt/GDP Ratio Is NOT Going To 1000%

Figure from page 10 of the July 2026 Fiscal Risks and Sustainability Report.

The U.K. Office of Budget Responsibility (OBR) published its “Fiscal Risks and Sustainability” report (link) and it contains the eye-catching chart above. I will...

a month ago
8
1

Prices Relatively Stable, Considering...

Despite the shrinkage of commodity flows out of the Persian Gulf, prices have been more stable than I certainly expected given how long supplies have been cut back. The chart above is one of the few scary charts I could find — a sub-categor...

a month ago
6

North American Trade Hardball Soon To Heat Up

There was a suggestion today suggesting that President Trump will formally “withdraw” from the Canada/Mexico/United States free trade pact (CUSMA/USMCA) tomorrow (Happy Canada Day!). However, unless he radically breaks the rules (always pos...

a month ago
7

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