The Conceptual Leader
Rodrigo SperbAll matters of leadership with a bias on knowledge work and technology
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 177 | Subscribers | Read | conceptualleader.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Beyond Gut Feel: Practical Ways to Put a Finger on Cost of Delay
TL;DR (AI-powered): Cost of Delay is worth estimating — even roughly.
Forget Precise Long-Term Plans – Focus on Risk Lenses Instead
TL;DR (AI-powered): For multi-year fixed-deadline projects: stop estimating every task. Chunk the work → gauge volume vs. proven throughput → hunt bottlenecks & uncertainty sources (scope, key teams, surprises). Lenses beat lies; conversati...
Portfolio Thinking for Delivery Risk: Plan Like an Investor, Execute Like a Trader
TL;DR (AI-powered): Treat your team’s quarter as an investment portfolio, allocating probabilistic capacity (50–75% confidence) across Keep-the-Lights-On, unplanned weork buffer, improvements, and new features based on throughput forecasts....
Stop Estimating. Start Investing: A Simple Better Way to Plan Work
TL;DR (AI-powered): Ditch estimation theater. Plan like an investor: anchor on your team’s actual throughput (statistically more reliable than story points via CoV checks), forecast using percentiles as confidence levels, and always ask “Ho...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Lifelong curious and learner. Life is a journey and the only destiny that matter is after live - until there I will take my share and burden of commitment to live it responsibly and principally, according to the values I cherish and bowl to wholly.
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