The Counterfactual by Clive Bates
Clive Bates, Stefanie Miller, David Sweanor, Sally Satel, Brad RoduTobacco and nicotine science, policy, and politics
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 12 | Founded | 4 years ago | Last Issue | 8 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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clivebates.substack.comLatest Issues
England's proposed anti-vaping policy casually tramples over basic rights
The nine most terrifying words in the English language (h/t R Reagan)
I responded to the Department of Health and Social Care consultation on Smoke-free, heated tobacco-free and vape-free places in England (closed 8 May 2026).
The short...
FDA vape regulation "untethered from reality"
This is a long article; a comment on the FDA’s Draft Guidance for Industry: Flavored ENDS Premarket Applications – Considerations Related to Youth Risk
Comment by: Clive Bates, Stefanie Miller, Brad Rodu, Sally Satel, and David Sweanor. Av...
Ten reasons to dislike the UK Tobacco and Vapes Bill
Neglected, Obstructed, Misled. No one cares about you…
Ten reasons to dislike the UK Tobacco and Vapes Bill
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- Solves a problem already solved. The headline measure - the Tobacco Free Generation - is worthless as a pu...
Rise of the pragmatists
Over 1 billion adults - about 1 in 7 - still smoke. How can we do better?
A bold and pragmatic strategy
One of the best commentaries I have ever seen on the future of tobacco and nicotine has just been published in the prestigious jour...
How to eliminate the tobacco industry
Eliminate the tobacco industry!
It’s a catchy idea, and it has been embraced by various actors in public health and tobacco control. For example, see ASH(U.S.): Making Tobacco Industry Elimination Inevitable (February 2026)
The “tob...
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| Subscribers | Engagement | 74 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I am a consultant in sustainability and public health with a particular interest in rational, humane, and pragmatic policy that works.
Stefanie Miller is an independent consultant.
First lawyer in the world to work full-time on policy measures to reduce cigarette smoking. I have achieved many global tobacco control precedents, and see nicotine risk reduction as one of the greatest public health opportunities in history.
Psychiatrist, Senior Fellow, American Enterprise Institute and Lecturer, Yale University School of Medicine
Brad Rodu is a Professor of Medicine at the University of Louisville, holds an endowed chair in tobacco harm reduction research, and is a member of the James Graham Brown Cancer Center at UofL.
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