The Financial Pen
I capture flashes of market insight before they fade and share them here. Each month, I aim to publish two in-depth company or industry analyses, alongside a couple of pieces on the principles and frameworks that guide long-term investing
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 77 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 18 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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thefinancialpen.substack.comLatest Issues
Rethinking Federal Contractors After AI
Federal contractors aren’t just selling hours. They also bear mission risk. Markets may have mispriced them by confusing replaceable effort with responsibility.
Apologies for taking a little longer than expected to complete this piece. I h...
From Chickenjoy to Capital Allocation
In the last post, Disney served as a way to think about insights that tap into a broadly shared emotional code, allowing a brand to move with little friction across generations and borders.
Here, the thread is picked up from the other end,...
Variant Perception: The Mechanics of Expectation Gaps
Insight Series: Applying the method to a live microcap idea with a growing earnings base and an operating valuation below 5x adjusted EBITDA
We have to be careful about what variant perception actually means if we want it to be useful.
A Tale of Two Drone Microcaps
How I’m underwriting two microcaps in the drone stack across procurement risk, cash runway, implied probabilities and entry-price discipline.
It is the best of times for drone economy investing, and it is the worst.
The Insight That Carried Disney
School holidays are upon us and, like many families, we took the opportunity to get away for a few days. This time it was a short trip aboard the Disney Adventure Cruise.
The Disney Adventure
The children loved it. There was a dinner wher...
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| Subscribers | Engagement | 78 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I hunt for quality the market misprices, probe opportunities it misunderstands, and spotlight bets it overlooks.
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