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The Financial Pen

I capture flashes of market insight before they fade and share them here. Each month, I aim to publish two in-depth company or industry analyses, alongside a couple of pieces on the principles and frameworks that guide long-term investing

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues76Foundeda year agoLast Issue8 days ago
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Latest Issues

From Chickenjoy to Capital Allocation

In the last post, Disney served as a way to think about insights that tap into a broadly shared emotional code, allowing a brand to move with little friction across generations and borders.

Here, the thread is picked up from the other end,...

8 days ago
35

Variant Perception: The Mechanics of Expectation Gaps

Insight Series: Applying the method to a live microcap idea with a growing earnings base and an operating valuation below 5x adjusted EBITDA

We have to be careful about what variant perception actually means if we want it to be useful.

15 days ago
36
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A Tale of Two Drone Microcaps

How I’m underwriting two microcaps in the drone stack across procurement risk, cash runway, implied probabilities and entry-price discipline.

It is the best of times for drone economy investing, and it is the worst.

25 days ago
40
Paid

The Insight That Carried Disney

School holidays are upon us and, like many families, we took the opportunity to get away for a few days. This time it was a short trip aboard the Disney Adventure Cruise.

The Disney Adventure

The children loved it. There was a dinner wher...

a month ago
50
3

Mispriced Well-Construction Economics

An asset-light well-construction micro-cap positioned where value may accrue as the DUC buffer disappears.

The Industry’s Shock Absorber

2 months ago
33
Paid

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    I hunt for quality the market misprices, probe opportunities it misunderstands, and spotlight bets it overlooks.

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