The Fourth Turning Point
Independent macro, geopolitical, and electoral analysis with disclosed positions and a public track record.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 141 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 10 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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thefourthturningpoint.substack.comLatest Issues
The Standard Didn’t Change. Only the President Did.
A few short years ago, under a different president, a certain group of Americans could not pass a gas station without blaming President Joseph R. Biden.
They put stickers on gas pumps as if that was going to change anything. They posted ga...
One Year of The Fourth Turning Point
Thank You
A year ago today, July 29th, 2025, I published something with no idea if anyone would read it.
Now, almost 1,900 of you subscribe, and more than 4,400 follow. I still truthfully barely know the difference, and I love you all...
The Upscale Insurgency
Episode 1:
Episode 2:
Episode 3:
Episode 4:
This episode: Every insurgency eventually has to answer the same question: who is it really for?
The house is worth more than $600,000. The people living inside it may never own...
The World Cup Isn’t Over. The Women Play Next.
Why This Belongs Here
This piece is complete different from the electoral models, institutional analysis, and foreign-policy work that usually runs under this publication, but i can promise you it comes from the EXACT same belief...
One Race Became a Rebellion. The Other Became a Rout.
THE FOURTH TURNING POINT · JUL 19, 2026
This updates two earlier pieces:
Lindsey Graham Dies at 71. Who Replaces Him?
July 12, 2026. My first South Carolina vacancy model, published the morning after Graham’s death and before...
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| Subscribers | Engagement | 83 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Memory. Markets. Meaning. Independent analysis of power and political cycles through the lens of history. Contributor, The Fulcrum. Public forecasting record. No affiliations. No filler.
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