The Fourth Turning Point
Independent macro, geopolitical, and electoral analysis with disclosed positions and a public track record.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 138 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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thefourthturningpoint.substack.comLatest Issues
The World Cup Isn’t Over. The Women Play Next.
Why This Belongs Here
This piece is complete different from the electoral models, institutional analysis, and foreign-policy work that usually runs under this publication, but i can promise you it comes from the EXACT same belief...
One Race Became a Rebellion. The Other Became a Rout.
THE FOURTH TURNING POINT · JUL 19, 2026
This updates two earlier pieces:
Lindsey Graham Dies at 71. Who Replaces Him?
July 12, 2026. My first South Carolina vacancy model, published the morning after Graham’s death and before...
I Watched Trump’s Speech So You Don’t Have To
This installment closes the immediate chapter around Thursday’s speech. The Second Campaign Against the Vote continues because the defense of the ballot never ends.
Data cutoff: 12:12 AM ET, July 17, 2026.
Relieved. Furious. Bot...
Six Years. Six Missing Links.
This is the second installment of The Second Campaign Against the Vote.
The first piece traced how Thursday’s speech came to exist: a president who demanded proof of a fraud his own government could not find, and an administration built to...
The Answer Came First
This is the first installment of The Second Campaign Against the Vote, a new Fourth Turning Point series tracking how Trump’s administration is using federal institutions to revisit the election he lost and what that machinery could mean fo...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Memory. Markets. Meaning. Independent analysis of power and political cycles through the lens of history. Contributor, The Fulcrum. Public forecasting record. No affiliations. No filler.
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