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The Journal of a Macro Speculator

Iain Cunningham

A transparent journal of my macro process evolution and trading activity in global equities, currencies, rates & commodities. Discretionary global macro approach with a 0-12 month horizon.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues43Founded8 months agoLast Issuea month ago
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Latest Issues

Macro Monthly: The Stagflationary Impulse Returns


Intro

This intro sets out the core frameworks that I use to contextualise the macro environment for trading.

Firstly, over the medium term, I believe that macro cycles are heavily influenced by policy dynamics: monetary, fiscal,...

a month ago
12

Trade Entry - update

I’ve decided to close my open trading positions today.

Just as oil markets and much of equity markets had come close to pricing out the conflict premium, post-three months of de-escalation, it now feels the most likely it has done for thin...

a month ago
7

Currency Game Plan: Conflicting cross-currents

Game Plan Summary:

Global risk regime: Positive. All in, I remain of the view that the broad global risk environment will continue to evolve positively, particularly in the US and Europe, with China acting as a drag.

USD regime: Neutr...

2 months ago
10

Trade Entry - Update

A bit of housekeeping.

I entered a number of long equity positions on 25/03/2026 due to my belief that Trump was seeking an off-ramp from the Iran conflict, bullish positioning had been washed out, and key markets had moved down into major...

2 months ago
10

In Warsh We Trust?

It’s 7 p.m. in London and I’m sat reading the press statement and about to watch the FOMC press conference.

If I’m honest, it’s been a while, but I declared it the most important policy meeting of the year…and it might be the last one…so I...

2 months ago
5

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  • Iain Cunningham

    Ex-pro Global Macro Fund Manager. Avid traveller. Author of The Journal of a Macro Speculator - a transparent journal of my trading activity across global equities, currencies, rates, and commodities. Discretionary global macro approach

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