The Monetary Frontier
George RobertsonMacro and monetary economic analysis.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only paid issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 301 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 8 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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themonetaryfrontier.substack.comLatest Issues
The tale of GDP: 2nd Q 2025 to 3rd Q 2026
I blew it and stubbornly go on about the recession of 2025, yet faced or resolved. Here is why. AI is deontological.
Despite the focus on the fiscal policy impact upon the US economy, the reality is that there is very little impact shown from Trump.
The focus on Trump fiscal policy is misplaced. There is no fiscal dominance. Furthermore if inflation is considered as a tax there is almost no fiscal impact on the US economy.
Insights from credit - further decline in Russell 2000 will occur.
If credit spread (and not yield) is approached as a option - a short put option - then insights can be had to the equity levels.
Risk-Free Status: A Practitioner Model
How US Treasurys pricing will always in the end reflect the risk free nature of the US. An idea how to utilize that truth.
Anchoring Risk-Free Rates to Macroeconomic Reality vs. Arbitrage-Free Market Fallacies
The current market yield of US Treasury 10 years, as an example is not the 10 year pricing of the US 10 year risk free pricing which always become one and the same as the US Treasury 10 year market.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Fixed income, equity, Fed, vol, options. 40y capital markets | Salomon, Jamie (Mulheren and Englander), Bass FTW, TX, Cargill | PM, CIO.
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