The Risk Curve
Trailside Trades - JoshWelcome to The Risk Curve. A place where I talk about trading crypto, tracking prediction markets, and finding an edge in the chaos. Writing will be broken down into segments across the Degen Diaries & What Are The Odds.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 7 | Founded | 2 months ago | Last Issue | 8 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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trailsidetrades.substack.comLatest Issues
Degen Diaries: Here Is A Secret ... I Have Been A Solana Hater
For most of this bear market, Solana has given me very little reason to care.
Now… to be fair I am speaking on the coin not the ecosystem but nevertheless..
Bitcoin found its eventual bottom, had clear levels and played into what we expec...
Degen Diaries: Why Bitcoin Is Likely About To Go Vertical
Prepared as part of ’s The Trading Intiative
September 27st, 2026
Subscribe to keep tabs on what is going to be a blow-off crypto bull market
I look at the charts and the setup, and all I can think is…
THE CHART(S) & DATA...
Degen Diaries: CEO’s & Memecoins... Robinhood has a Boner...
A few weeks ago I wrote about the asymmetric upside starting to show up on Robinhood Chain, and in general, the need to explore areas of crypto with higher friction.
At the time, the general idea was pretty simple.
New chain. Thin liquidi...
Is Polymarket Really Bleeding Capital?
I came across this post from J.C. Parets recently claiming that assets under management at Polymarket are down 40% since the beginning of summer, with hundreds of millions of dollars either leaving the platform or simply being “lost to gamb...
What Are The Odds: Part 2 - Congratulations, You Made Money. Are You Actually Good?
In Part 1, we got the easy-ish stuff out of the way.
Prediction markets aren’t really about guessing what happens.
They’re about finding events where your estimate of the probability is better than the probability already embedded in the...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Speculator, trader, content, writing and trying new things @ The Trading Initiative
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