The Risk Curve
Trailside Trades - JoshWelcome to The Risk Curve. A place where I talk about trading crypto, tracking prediction markets, and finding an edge in the chaos. Writing will be broken down into segments across the Degen Diaries & What Are The Odds.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 4 | Founded | a month ago | Last Issue | 12 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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trailsidetrades.substack.comLatest Issues
Is Polymarket Really Bleeding Capital?
I came across this post from J.C. Parets recently claiming that assets under management at Polymarket are down 40% since the beginning of summer, with hundreds of millions of dollars either leaving the platform or simply being “lost to gamb...
What Are The Odds: Part 2 - Congratulations, You Made Money. Are You Actually Good?
In Part 1, we got the easy-ish stuff out of the way.
Prediction markets aren’t really about guessing what happens.
They’re about finding events where your estimate of the probability is better than the probability already embedded in the...
What Are The Odds: You Are Probably The Edge
Welcome to Prediction Markets. You're Probably Going to Lose (if you approach them like everyone else does).
Prediction markets have a beautifully simple sales pitch.
Something is going to happen, or it isn’t.
Trump wins the election or...
Degen Diaries: Friction & Asymmetric Upside
Welcome to the first entry in the Degen Diaries, a place for me to talk about some of the asymmetric upside I see in crypto, cognizant of the risk that these ideas come with, in the crypto market.
Today I wanted to set the stage for this s...
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| Subscribers | Engagement | 72 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Speculator, trader, content, writing and trying new things @ The Trading Initiative
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