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Welcome to The Risk Curve. A place where I talk about trading crypto, tracking prediction markets, and finding an edge in the chaos. Writing will be broken down into segments across the Degen Diaries & What Are The Odds.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues9Founded3 months agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

Degen Diaries: The Biggest Heist of Human History Just Occurred With The Sweep of a Transaction

Binance’s $6.3 billion breach, the race to freeze the money, and a frog refusing to die.

October 30th, 2026 · Figures and findings remain preliminary. The story is of course still developing.

This morning I was on Candle Talk Live talkin...

7 days ago
1
1

What Are The Odds: The Bet You Already Have

A Dodgers hedge, a few crowded bars, and the opportunity growing around prediction markets.

A Los Angeles hospitality group found a fairly practical reason to use prediction markets.

It runs 25 bars, many near Dodger Stadium. A longer pla...

16 days ago
3
1

Degen Diaries: Here Is A Secret ... I Have Been A Solana Hater

For most of this bear market, Solana has given me very little reason to care.

Now… to be fair I am speaking on the coin not the ecosystem but nevertheless..

Bitcoin found its eventual bottom, had clear levels and played into what we expec...

a month ago
3
2

Degen Diaries: Why Bitcoin Is Likely About To Go Vertical

Prepared as part of ’s The Trading Intiative

September 27st, 2026

Subscribe to keep tabs on what is going to be a blow-off crypto bull market

I look at the charts and the setup, and all I can think is…


THE CHART(S) & DATA...
a month ago
9
1

Degen Diaries: CEO’s & Memecoins... Robinhood has a Boner...

A few weeks ago I wrote about the asymmetric upside starting to show up on Robinhood Chain, and in general, the need to explore areas of crypto with higher friction.

At the time, the general idea was pretty simple.

New chain. Thin liquidi...

2 months ago
2
1

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  • Trailside Trades - Josh

    Speculator, trader, content, writing and trying new things @ The Trading Initiative

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