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The Rogue Quant

Hundreds of paid subscribers

Get backtested trading strategies with code and edge breakdowns, plus AI prompts to generate, validate, and refine profitable trading ideas.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues89Founded2 years agoLast Issue5 days ago
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Latest Issues

7 Numbers to Know Before the Fed Speaks Today

Take out its 260 Fed days, and the S&P 500's gain since 1994 falls from about 1,420% to about 740%. This year, all five Fed days closed lower.

The Fed announces its interest rate decision today at 2 PM New York time.

5 days ago
9
Paid

Crude Hit $100 and Soybeans Set a 20-Year Record

Every Friday, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission publishes the Commitments of Traders report, or CoT.

It shows how large traders were positioned on Tuesday.

The report does not predict the next price move. It shows where position...

9 days ago
7

Four Market Positions Just Hit 20-Year Records

Every Friday, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission publishes the Commitments of Traders report, or CoT.

It shows how large traders were positioned on Tuesday.

The report does not predict the next price move. It shows where position...

15 days ago
12
2

How to Use Claude Fable 5.1 for Trading Research

I read the documentation so you don't have to. Here is what actually matters.

Claude Fable 5.1 came out a few days ago.

17 days ago
14
Paid

Is this strategy solid… or did I just get lucky?

back in my first years as a systematic trader, every time I found a promising strategy in a backtest I’d ask myself:

did I actually find something here, or is this just luck (aka overfitting)

and that’s even after taking all the usual p...

23 days ago
9
3

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