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The Rogue Quant

Hundreds of paid subscribers

Get backtested trading strategies with code and edge breakdowns, plus AI prompts to generate, validate, and refine profitable trading ideas.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues71Foundeda year agoLast Issue3 days ago
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Latest Issues

Crude Got Paid (CoT Update 05/15/2026)

“The big money is not in the buying and the selling, but in the waiting.” - Charlie Munger

Annual subscribers can now access the new CoT Dashboard inside the TRQ Portal - the full positioning board behind these weekly reports, updated w...

3 days ago
4

Cocoa Went Vertical | CoT Update: 05/08/2026

“When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?” — John Maynard Keynes

Last week I led the page with cocoa: physical-market commercials going heavier long, hedge funds (Managed Money: funds and CTAs) at the most aggressive...

10 days ago
15

The Distribution Went Mainstream (CoT update)

Last week I led with one line: real money was selling the Russell into a +11.5% four-week rally. Distribution, not rotation.

This week the distribution went broader.

Asset Managers — the institutional real-money group, pension funds and s...

17 days ago
19
1

This Nasdaq Strategy Has A 75% Win Rate (Until I Found the December Bug)

One pivot pattern. Drawdown 32% → 25% with one calendar filter. Here's exactly what changed.

In 700 BC the Roman calendar had a bug: roughly sixty winter days had no names at all.

18 days ago
15
7
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The Small-Cap Tell (CoT update)

“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.”— Sir John Templeton

source: templeton.org

Last week, Asset Managers were long bonds and equities at the same time. An all-clear bet on e...

24 days ago
18
3

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