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The Rogue Quant

Hundreds of paid subscribers

Get backtested trading strategies with code and edge breakdowns, plus AI prompts to generate, validate, and refine profitable trading ideas.

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues82Founded2 years agoLast Issue3 days ago
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Latest Issues

Six Signals This Year. Three Days Each. $15,190. (CoT Update + Full Trading Strategy)

Long-only crude, 203 trades, profit factor 2.26 and an entry condition that has nothing to do with oil's own positioning…

Two weeks ago I wrote that oil’s biggest bulls had stopped adding to their book, with crude near $90.

3 days ago
1
Paid

Oil Ran 27% in a Month. Then Its Biggest Bulls Stopped Adding. (CoT Update)

Last week’s report left two loose ends:

  1. Crude, where I admitted the positioning extreme was real and I’d been too slow to trust it.

  2. And silver, the most bullish positioning on the board (falling anyway)

You can read it here...

17 days ago
8

No Single Player Wins a World Cup. No Single Rule Wins This Backtest.

A bond short built from three conditions, none survives alone. Together: one losing year in seventeen, profit factor 1.91 net of costs.

First of all: to all the Spanish subscribers: congratulations world champions. Well deserved.

22 days ago
10
Paid

Silver Has the Most Bullish Positioning on the Board. It's Down 21%. (CoT Update)

Last week I wrote that the physical players selling the cocoa rally meant the easy part of that move was over.

You can read it here:

Cocoa fell 8.8% this week.

I also wrote that crude’s positioning extreme looked real, but I wanted one...

24 days ago
5

Buy the Dip, but Not Every Dip: One Filter Cut the Drawdown by 88%

A dead-simple EUR/JPY dip-buy strategy quadrupled its net profit with one filter (full code included)

I spent part of this World Cup in the United States, and watching keepers face penalties reminded me of a 2007 study.

a month ago
18
Paid

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