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The Specification

Milos Maricic

What AI research means for the people who allocate capital

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Latest Issues

The Consensus Is Becoming a Model

Every manager I have met this year runs part of the research on a frontier model, and most of them run it on the same one. There’s a price to pay for that.

Better models, same mistakes

Andrew Lo, the MIT Sloan finance professor, posted...

a month ago
3

89 Percent of Hallucinations Survive the Final Agent Handoff

Last week, the Wall Street Journal reported that Blackstone, Hellman & Friedman and Apollo are embedding AI engineering teams inside their portfolio companies as a permanent operating function. Multi-agent systems, several specialised AI mo...

2 months ago
1

Ten Papers Retire the Standard AI Backtest Defense

The Specification returns from a summer break with a stack of ten papers and one verdict argued across them. Over June, July and August the interesting work in AI-for-finance quietly stopped answering whether a model can find alpha and star...

2 months ago

How financial institutions can cut a third of their token costs while raising the metrics that matter

The quarter the token bill became a line item

Something changed on the earnings calls this season. Our Token Tape, which reads the quarterly calls of roughly sixty large US-listed financial institutions, has about 80 percent of them di...

2 months ago
1

The LLM Sentiment Regression's 95% Interval Covers the Truth 0.0% of the Time

An LLM text signal without human calibration built into the estimator is a measurement-error machine. Validation accuracy reported in an appendix corrects nothing.

Junting Duan of the University of Hong Kong and Markus Pelger of Stanford M...

2 months ago

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