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The Swingometer

Rob Ford

Thoughts on elections, public opinion and politics. The Swingometer is named in honour of the late Sir David Butler, inventor of both "swing" and the device to illustrate it on television.

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Latest Issues

The Greater Manchester Mayoral by-election

Ten boroughs - nine of them do not like being referred to as “Manchester”

The largest by-election in British political history takes place next week. Don’t worry if you haven’t noticed. The Greater Manchester by-election was automatically...

20 days ago
57
12

Rebel Rebel

MPs voting on the Universal Credit bill in July 2025. There were more rebellions over this bill than any other during the Parliamentary session

I’ve been producing regular updates on the state of backbench rebellions for almost 30 years. I...

2 months ago
15

By-election update: Seat polls, splitters and Scotland

There are just three days to go until the polls open in Makerfield, and we know now a bit more about the lay of the land. The highest profile by-election in living memory has attracted plenty of attention from pollsters: five polls from fou...

2 months ago
43
6

The Makerfield by-election: High risk, high return

Here we go again. Less than four months after Gorton & Denton, Greater Manchester voters are off to the polls in another by-election. The Gorton & Denton contest was defined by the man who wasn’t there: Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham...

3 months ago
119
29

Six big questions for the English local elections

Local and devolved elections are upon us once again. Voter in England, Scotland and Wales will go to the polls next Thursday in the largest electoral test to date for the Labour government elected less than two years ago. The seats up for e...

3 months ago
49
10

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Authors

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  • Rob Ford

    Professor of Political Science, Sky News Elections Analyst and author of (among other things) "Brexitland", "The British General Election of 2024", "The British General Election of 2019" and "Sex, Lies and Politics"

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