Thoughts on elections, public opinion and politics. The Swingometer is named in honour of the late Sir David Butler, inventor of both "swing" and the device to illustrate it on television.
Platform | Substack | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
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Issues | 42 | Subscribers | Read | swingometer.substack.com |
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Today is, by my reckoning, the 21st day of this campaign, with 21 more days to go. It’s half time. A good point to grab a cup of tea and look at the lay of the land. This campaign started with an unforced error, as a Prime Minister without ...
47 \- the number of seats the Conservatives notionally won in 2019 and can afford to lose before they lose their overall majority.1 Lose more than this and they are very likely to be out of government, as they have no friends among the mino...
The governing party seemed to take heart from local council results this month, despite losing nearly half of the seats they were defending. The source of the Tory morale boost was a projection produced by Professor Michael Thrasher and Sky...
With the big three day festival of vote counting now at an end, the time has come to sift through the results and see what it all means. In this piece, I kick things off with a look at the Blackpool South by-election, the Police and Crime C...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Professor of Political Science, and author of "Brexitland", "The British General Election of 2019" and "Sex, Lies and Politics"
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