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The Swingometer

Rob Ford

Thoughts on elections, public opinion and politics. The Swingometer is named in honour of the late Sir David Butler, inventor of both "swing" and the device to illustrate it on television.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues60Founded4 years agoLast Issue2 months ago
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Latest Issues

Gorton and Denton Postmortem

Its less than two weeks since the Greens made history with their first ever by-election victory in Gorton & Denton, yet the result already feels like ancient history. War has returned to the Middle East, and the shockwaves from this new con...

2 months ago
82
23

Gorton & Denton Final Update: All To Play For

State of the race: Intriguingly poised

Welcome to my final update on the Gorton and Denton by-election, now just a few days away. The big news since my last post is the publication of two constituency polls from reputable pollsters. I had...

3 months ago
81
15

Gorton & Denton update 2: Leaflet wars

Consider the leaflet. A5 fragments of political ephemera, all following the same basic form, yet each with subtle variations making it unique. Electoral snowflakes. And, like snowflakes, predictable changes in the local climate stimulate th...

3 months ago
58
14

Waka waka waka

Today we have a special guest post from Philip Cowley, who has got a splendid new book out. He wrote a short piece for the FT recently, looking at how we might deal with defecting MPs, and I liked it so much I asked him if he’d write a long...

3 months ago
32
2

Gorton and Denton Update 1

Welcome to all the new readers who have signed up after reading last week’s guide to Gorton and Denton. I’m glad so many of you have found it useful. I have no SoundCloud but…Many of the trends we are seeing here - fragmentation, the rise o...

4 months ago
78
6

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  • Rob Ford

    Professor of Political Science, and author of "Brexitland", "The British General Election of 2019" and "Sex, Lies and Politics"

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