Here I'll explore polling and elections to draw out nuances in the electoral landscape which might be missed when looking at the big picture - but which are important to interrogate in order to understand that broader landscape.
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It’s pretty much impossible to look at any coverage of the Local Elections without coming across a great deal of expectations management.
As we’ve seen in part one (please read this before continuing if you haven’t!), the key bottleneck to improving Tory vote intention seems likely to be the wider Conservative Party brand, rather than Sunak’s personal ratings.
Rishi Sunak has recently seen a boost to his approval and favourability ratings. However, despite a wide range of results in recent weeks, the vote intention polling average has barely moved - the Conservative Party remains 20 points behind...
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Analysis of polling and elections, with a particular focus on looking under the bonnet to draw out nuances in the electoral landscape.
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