The Two Cents
Romain Wacziarg, Hanno LustigA space for musings on economic policy and political economy by Hanno Lustig and Romain Wacziarg
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 5 | Subscribers | Read | thetwocents.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Who Gains and Who Loses when Rates Change?
The US witnessed an enormous decline in real rates between the early 1980s and 2020s. Figure 1 plots the real long-term rates in the U.S. against the expected GDP growth rate. I measure the 10-year real rate using the historical time series...
Gilts and Treasurys in Wars and Pandemics
Between March 9 and March 18, 2020, the nominal 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 68 bps. The flight to safety of US Treasurys that market participants and policy makers had come to expect didn’t materialize. These Treasury yield dynamics...
The Safe Assets that weren't.
After WWII, the US took over the baton from the UK as the world’s purveyor of safe assets. The dominance of the dollar was more or less codified in the Bretton-Woods agreement of 1944. John Maynard Keynes, who was leading the negotiations f...
Europe’s Folly
In December 2025, Belgium successfully blocked an EU initiative, led by Germany, to seize more than €200 billion of Russian assets held in Belgium in order to fund the Ukrainian war effort. Instead, in a midnight session on December 18, the...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Economist, Professor at UCLA, Editor of the Journal of the European Economic Association, Faculty Director of the Center for Global Management at UCLA Anderson.
Economist at Stanford. Fascinated by exchange rates. Really wanted to be a pilot. Actually, taxes do fund spending.
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