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The Two Cents

Romain Wacziarg, Hanno Lustig

A space for musings on economic policy and political economy by Hanno Lustig and Romain Wacziarg

Platform
Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues7SubscribersRead thetwocents.substack.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

How can you help to protect your local central banker?

The U.S. House of Representatives passed the OBBB act on May 22, 2025. The CBO estimated that this bill would add $ 3.4 trillion to the economy. As the bill was making its way to the Senate, on June 30, 2025, the WH Press Secretary displaye...

8 days ago
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Blue Bonds for Europe

Every couple of years, Europe witnesses another push for greater joint debt issuance in the Eurozone. A few years ago the rationale was funding the fight against climate change.¹ This time the focus has shifted to funding Europe’s defense. ...

13 days ago
34
3

Who Gains and Who Loses when Rates Change?

The US witnessed an enormous decline in real rates between the early 1980s and 2020s. Figure 1 plots the real long-term rates in the U.S. against the expected GDP growth rate. I measure the 10-year real rate using the historical time series...

a month ago
34
4

Gilts and Treasurys in Wars and Pandemics

Between March 9 and March 18, 2020, the nominal 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 68 bps. The flight to safety of US Treasurys that market participants and policy makers had come to expect didn’t materialize. These Treasury yield dynamics...

a month ago
36
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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Romain Wacziarg

    Economist, Professor at UCLA, Editor of the Journal of the European Economic Association, Faculty Director of the Center for Global Management at UCLA Anderson.

  • Hanno Lustig

    Economist at Stanford. Fascinated by exchange rates. Really wanted to be a pilot. Actually, taxes do fund spending.

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