The Two Cents
Romain Wacziarg, Hanno LustigA space for musings on economic policy and political economy by Hanno Lustig and Romain Wacziarg
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 29 | Founded | 6 months ago | Last Issue | 6 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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thetwocents.substack.comLatest Issues
The carry trade that can't be unwound.
Japan’s monetary experiment took off in full force in 2012 when the Bank of Japan under Kuroda began absorbing all of the net issuance of JGBs (black line in figure below). In September 2016, the BoJ switched into full gear by implementing...
What happens to yields in between FOMC meetings?
30-year Treasury yields traded through 5.2% during Warsh’s second press conference yesterday afternoon. The Fed had just decided to hold the Fed Funds rate steady in spite of three dissenters calling for rate hikes.
In his prepared remark...
Marked to Model
The FOMC is meeting right now (July 28–29) in DC to decide whether or not to hike rates. Before every FOMC meeting in DC, the Fed staffers run different policy choices through a whole stack of models that translate new data into forecasts a...
Are central bankers chasing their own shadow?
Back in 1993 John Taylor, a professor at Stanford Economics, wrote down a rule to describe how central bankers in the US set the policy rate, the Fed Funds rate. This is the interest rate the Fed raises to keep the economy from overheating....
Europe chose insurance. America chose growth.
The World Cup has kicked off an interesting experiment: hundreds of thousands of European soccer fans, some of whom arrived expecting a dystopian country. If you consume mainstream European media coverage of the United States under Trump, y...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Economist, Professor at UCLA, Editor of the Journal of the European Economic Association, Faculty Director of the Center for Global Management at UCLA Anderson.
Economist at Stanford. Fascinated by exchange rates. Really wanted to be a pilot. Actually, taxes do fund spending.
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