The Two Cents
Romain Wacziarg, Hanno LustigA space for musings on economic policy and political economy by Hanno Lustig and Romain Wacziarg
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 32 | Founded | 7 months ago | Last Issue | 8 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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thetwocents.substack.comLatest Issues
What are U.S. Treasury markets really telling us? Part II.
In one of his recent posts, Paul Krugman asked “What are bond markets telling us?” According to Krugman, there is no reason to panic in response to the steady rise in longer yields. Krugman cites the fact that long-run inflation breakevens,...
From Core to Periphery. France in the Eurozone.
A firestorm erupted on X when Matthieu Pigasse, a prominent former French banker, suggested that the French government ought to consider cancelling the national debt that is held by the ECB. That kicked off an interesting discussion about t...
What are US Treasury markets really telling us? Part I
In one of his recent posts, Paul Krugman asked, “What are bond markets telling us?” His answer is: don’t panic. According to Krugman, yields are up mainly because of a surge in the demand for credit fueled by hyper-scalers building data cen...
The carry trade that can't be unwound.
Japan’s monetary experiment took off in full force in 2012 when the Bank of Japan under Kuroda began absorbing all of the net issuance of JGBs (black line in figure below). In September 2016, the BoJ switched into full gear by implementing...
What happens to yields in between FOMC meetings?
30-year Treasury yields traded through 5.2% during Warsh’s second press conference yesterday afternoon. The Fed had just decided to hold the Fed Funds rate steady in spite of three dissenters calling for rate hikes.
In his prepared remark...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Economist, Professor at UCLA, Editor of the Journal of the European Economic Association, Faculty Director of the Center for Global Management at UCLA Anderson.
Economist at Stanford. Fascinated by exchange rates. Really wanted to be a pilot. Actually, taxes do fund spending.
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