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The Update

Stefan Schubert

News that shifts your beliefs

Platform
Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesDaily
Issues58Founded6 months agoLast Issue5 days ago
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Latest Issues

Talk: The case for epistemic discipline

I gave a talk at EAGx Nordics about epistemic discipline, building on my argument-checking of opinion pieces and live debates. The video is now up:

Many participants in public discourse don’t even try to give proper arguments. For instance...

5 days ago
23
3

The Rationality Gap

Why did so many expect the Millennium Bug to cause a disaster?

Why was the peak oil theory so widely believed?

Why is rent control so popular?

Because we suffer from the sleepwalking illusion: we keep missing how people adapt to changing...

a month ago
54
5

The tables have turned on AI sceptics

Could we have human-level AI within the next few decades? For a long time, many people have dismissed this idea as armchair speculation. In their view, we shouldn’t ground our beliefs about transformative technologies in vague hunches and f...

2 months ago
68
9

Women don’t think 80 percent of men are below average, and the share of children with a secret dad is far below 10 percent

Welcome to The Update. Today, I’m covering research across the social and natural sciences, along with new releases from Works in Progress and Asterisk.

  • Women don’t think 80 percent of men are below average

  • The share of children w...

2 months ago
60
7

AI economics needs to be weird

Welcome to The Update. Today, I’m covering some of the most important recent debates about the future of AI.

  • Will there be relational jobs in the weird world of advanced AI?

  • Why AI propaganda hasn’t been as effective as feared...

2 months ago
30
4

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