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The Value Pond

Juan - The Value Pond

Hunting small caps | Turnarounds | Capital cycle | Special situations. Professionally managing capital \ud83d\udcc826% IRR since 2023. ✍️ Institutional research • Articles • Portfolio updates. Margin of safety, long-term and skin in the game are non-negotiable.

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Issues43Founded3 years agoLast Issue8 days ago
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Latest Issues

Semapa (LSI: SEM) — ~50% discount and a potential catalyst

Good afternoon, dear reader.

This week I was reviewing the Q1 results of the company I am writing about today, looking mainly for clues about how management plans to deploy the cash following the sale of a business that unlocked part of th...

8 days ago
11

📊 The Pond Tracker | Apr '26

Good morning, dear reader,

We close a disastrous April, where the portfolio's correlation to oil has been strongly negative 😂. Buying Brent puts would have been the most efficient hedge.

That said, it is worth putting things in context:...

25 days ago
9

Wizz Air✈️ (LON: WIZZ) — Thesis Update

Short-term shocks are long-term opportunities. Here is why WizzAir still holds despite the drop.

a month ago
9
Paid

Dunelm (LON: DNLM) - Full thesis

20 years of uninterrupted growth, 8-10% dividend yield, and a structural question about urban stores that determines whether this is a stalwart or a compounder.

a month ago
9
Paid

Dunelm

A first look

2 months ago
9
Paid

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  • Juan - The Value Pond

    Independent Analyst. Hunting small caps | Turnarounds | Capital cycle | Special situations. Managing capital \ud83d\udcc826% IRR since 2023. ✍️ Deep dives • Articles • Portfolio updates. Margin of safety, long-term and skin in the game are non-negotiable.

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