The Variant Perception Blog
VP Research, Hugh Vuillier, Kira ThorntonMan + machine beats man or machine alone.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 212 | Founded | 4 years ago | Last Issue | 23 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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blog.variantperception.comLatest Issues
Fed Hike Signals Transition to Late-Cycle Environment
This is a preview from our last October G3 Leading Indicator Watch (Published Oct 6).
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Our US growth leading indicator is still trending sideways at just under 2% annualized.
That is well below GDPNow, which...
Hiking into weaker growth
Our best charts and research from the week.
Find out more about us here.
Hiking Into Weaker Growth
G3 Leading Indicator Watch
(Oct 6)
Central banks are hiking into weakening growth. Inflation impulse is already negative.
Our In...
AI Bubble Watch
This is a preview from our last October Macro Snapshot (Published Oct 1).
Find out more here.
Equity breadth is starting to weaken after the Fed’s first hike.
The equal-weighted Value Line Arithmetic index is drawing down from its Augus...
Lower Margin of Safety
Our best charts and research from the week.
Find out more about us here.
Lower Margin of Safety - October Macro Snapshot
(Oct 1)
Cyclical Asset Allocation: Macro Risk Indicator rolling over, still “Risk On”, but lower margin of s...
Housing Headwinds to Restrain Hawkish Pricing
Our best charts and research from the week.
Find out more about us here.
Housing headwinds to restrain hawkish pricing -
Sep. EM/DM Leading Indicator Watch
(24 Sep)
Our global diffusion indices show a marginally softer gro...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
At Variant Perception, we search for first principles answers to fundamental investing questions. We draw from diverse sources, from historians, to famous investors, to disease contagion models, and we avoid overfitted black boxes.
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