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Substack
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Latest Issues

US Small Caps— UW on peaking macro tailwinds

This week's charts and research highlights from Variant Perception.



Chart of the Week

Russel 2000 outperformance vs S&P 500 is 2 standard deviations above trend. This is even as supportive liquidity conditions are peaking...

12 days ago
6

G3 Decoupling

We’re back on Substack —
keep reading for a roundup of our best charts and sharpest work.



Chart of the Week

Positive NFP surprise out of sync with underlying trend of subdued labor activity.


G3 Decoupling —...

19 days ago
6

We Have Moved!


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5 months ago
3

What We Got Right and Wrong (4Q25) - Weekly Wrap


We’re migrating our newsletter to our new website. It won’t affect you in any way — you will instead start to receive the newsletter from [email protected].

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5 months ago
14
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Where “push” and “pull” align - Jan. EM/DM Leading Indicator Watch


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5 months ago
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  • VP Research

    At Variant Perception, we search for first principles answers to fundamental investing questions. We draw from diverse sources, from historians, to famous investors, to disease contagion models, and we avoid overfitted black boxes.

  • Hugh Vuillier
  • Kira Thornton
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