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The Variant Perception Blog

VP Research, Kira Thornton

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Latest Issues

Still risk-on - Aug. Macro Snapshot

This week's charts and research highlights from Variant Perception.



Chart of the Week

The overall equity market has weathered the July AI equity crash, with the average US stock still trending higher.


Still ris...

7 days ago
7

Into the Breach Once More - EM/DM Leading Indicator Watch

This week's charts and research highlights from Variant Perception.



Chart of the Week

UK LEIs continue to paint a clear picture of growth downside risks, while inflation fears look overstated.



Trial...

14 days ago
5

What We Got Right and What We Got Wrong (2Q26)

This week's charts and research highlights from Variant Perception.



Chart of the Week

Since July 2, we have been observing the significant divergence between our Core and Headline US Inflation LEIs.



    • *...
a month ago
6

Thoughts on Quantifying Equity Crowding + Not too hot, Not too cold (G3 LIW)

This week's charts and research highlights from Variant Perception.



Chart of the Week

Stocks with both very high and very low crowding scores show significantly higher forward downside volatility. Investors should aim to...

a month ago
6

Keep vigilant and carry on - July Macro Snapshot

This week's charts and research highlights from Variant Perception.



Chart of the Week

The Iran-induced inflation impulse will likely be transitory.


Keep vigilant and carry on - Macro Snapshot

  • Our Macro Ris...
a month ago
2

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  • VP Research

    At Variant Perception, we search for first principles answers to fundamental investing questions. We draw from diverse sources, from historians, to famous investors, to disease contagion models, and we avoid overfitted black boxes.

  • Kira Thornton
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