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Latest Issues

AI Bubble Watch

This is a preview from our last October Macro Snapshot (Published Oct 1).
Find out more here.

Equity breadth is starting to weaken after the Fed’s first hike.

The equal-weighted Value Line Arithmetic index is drawing down from its Augus...

10 days ago
11
3

Lower Margin of Safety

Our best charts and research from the week.
Find out more about us here.

Lower Margin of Safety - October Macro Snapshot

(Oct 1)

Cyclical Asset Allocation: Macro Risk Indicator rolling over, still “Risk On”, but lower margin of s...

12 days ago
16

Housing Headwinds to Restrain Hawkish Pricing

Our best charts and research from the week.
Find out more about us here.

Housing headwinds to restrain hawkish pricing -

Sep. EM/DM Leading Indicator Watch

(24 Sep)

Our global diffusion indices show a marginally softer gro...

21 days ago
12

Growth softer, tails wider - Sep. G3 Leading Indicator Watch

This week's charts and research highlights from Variant Perception.



REVISITING OUR TOP 10 SURPRISES FOR 2026 - WEBINAR

with Tian Yang

Fund Manager of VPX ETF

&

CIO of Variant Perception

—

Sep 24, 2026 03:00 PM (BS...

a month ago
6

Politics Trumps Economics - Macro Snapshot (Sep 2)

This week’s charts and research highlights from Variant Perception.



Chart of the Week

The recent rise in US 10y yield has been driven by the real term premium, rather than inflation or rate expectations.


Polit...

a month ago
8

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  • VP Research

    At Variant Perception, we search for first principles answers to fundamental investing questions. We draw from diverse sources, from historians, to famous investors, to disease contagion models, and we avoid overfitted black boxes.

  • Hugh Vuillier
  • Kira Thornton
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