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The Variant Perception Blog

VP Research, Hugh Vuillier

Man + machine beats man or machine alone.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues194Founded4 years agoLast Issue4 months ago
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Latest Issues

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4 months ago
2

What We Got Right and Wrong (4Q25) - Weekly Wrap


We’re migrating our newsletter to our new website. It won’t affect you in any way — you will instead start to receive the newsletter from [email protected].

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4 months ago
14
1

Where “push” and “pull” align - Jan. EM/DM Leading Indicator Watch


We’re migrating our newsletter to our new website. It won’t affect you in any way — you will instead start to receive the newsletter from [email protected].

If you’d prefer not to continue, you can opt out at any time here....

4 months ago
6

Optimism is consensus, but that’s ok for now

Variant Perception, Made Repeatable.
Rigorous investment research grounded in auditable quantitative models. No black boxes, no guru calls.


Optimism is consensus, but that’s ok for now - Jan. G3 Leading Indicator Watch | [Wat...

4 months ago
9

Echoes of 2016, 2003 and 1999: Signposts to watch

Variant Perception, Made Repeatable.
Rigorous investment research grounded in auditable quantitative models. No black boxes, no guru calls.


Echoes of 2016, 2003 and 1999: Signposts to watch - Jan. Macro Snapshot

  • Our Macro Ris...
5 months ago
8

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Authors

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  • VP Research

    At Variant Perception, we search for first principles answers to fundamental investing questions. We draw from diverse sources, from historians, to famous investors, to disease contagion models, and we avoid overfitted black boxes.

  • Hugh Vuillier
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