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Theoria Research

TheoriaCapital

Rigorous equity research and weekly letter for investors interested in Chinese markets.

Platform
Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues29Founded2 years agoLast Issue36 hours ago
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Latest Issues

Theoria Weekly #7

STAR 50 Continues to Pull Back

The STAR 50 continued to retreat this week, falling another 5%. I find it interesting to compare its historical total return with that of the CSI Dividend Index (dividend adjusted).

Even after the recent...

36 hours ago
3

Theoria Weekly #6

What China’s Weak Retail Sales Numbers Miss

China’s July retail sales numbers, released on August 17, remained weak. Total retail sales grew just 0.6% year over year, with goods sales up only 0.5%, while catering did somewhat better a...

9 days ago
2

Theoria Weekly #5

H World 2026 Q2: RevPAR Pressure, Strong Network Expansion

H World reported another solid quarter. In China, blended RevPAR reached RMB238 in Q2, up 1.1% year over year. This marked the fourth consecutive quarter of positive RevPAR gr...

16 days ago

Theoria Weekly #4

Tencent’s Bigger AI Bill Clouds the Outlook

Tencent reported its Q2 results on August 12. Its core businesses are still doing very well: Value-added Services revenue grew 8% year over year, FinTech and Business Services grew 9%, and M...

23 days ago
9

Theoria Weekly #3

Diary farming sector shows sign of recovery

The diary farming sector in China has been in a downturn since around August 2021, when raw-milk prices began falling from roughly RMB 4.4/kg to close to RMB 3.1/kg. The main problem was a classi...

a month ago
6
3

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