
Practical, jargon-free description of what is going on in international affairs and financial markets from the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of a global macro hedge fund, Kate Capital. And the price is right...free.
| Platform | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly | |
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| Issues | 405 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 11 days ago |
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Not investment advice.
The Iran war is roughly 75% over. There is approximately a 25% probability of escalation and another significant spike in energy prices.
Months in, a few key observations stand out:
1. It is wiser to trade...
Not investment advice.
During the railroad boom, there were regional wars, like the Anglo-Zulu War, that today almost no one remembers. We remember the railroads, however. A bridge in my town—a massive wrought-iron structure—was bui...
Not investment advice.
We are going to get a tightening in monetary policy, which is bad for assets. Inflation, as shown below, is around 4% in the US and 3% in Europe and is going higher due to the war in Iran and the resulting hig...
Not investment advice.
Oil is having an outsized impact on the price of all other assets. Bonds, for instance, are full of oil. Below I show 2-year bond yields (white) in the US versus oil (blue). The recent rise in bond yields is m...
Not investment advice.
The tattered campaigners surged on, some now holding aloft cups that had been pressed upon them, waving to the ladies clustered on the balconies in their putrescent hats and elevating the bobbing heads with th...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
I write. I invest. More about me on paulpodolsky.com.
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