Thinkonomics’s Substack
ThinkonomicsUnpacking policy. Demystifying economics.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 26 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 2 months ago |
| Active | |||||
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thinkonomics.substack.comLatest Issues
Before You Value an Investment, You Need to Value Its Risks
There is a question I never thought to ask when I first started learning finance.
Why do two investments with the same expected cash flows end up having completely different valuations?
At first, I assumed the answer was simple: one compa...
Why Analysts Simulate Thousands of Futures Instead of Predicting One??
When I first built a Monte Carlo simulation in Excel, I thought I had made a mistake.
Every time I pressed Enter, the results changed. The projected stock price was different. The returns were different. Even the probability distribution s...
One Strait. One Conflict. One Global Economy.
Most people hear about conflicts in the Middle East and think they’re political problems. Economists hear something different. We hear supply chains, insurance premiums, shipping routes, inflation, and policy responses. A conflict is rarely...
Before You Analyze a Company: What Fundamental Analysis Is Really Trying to Answer
When I first started learning equity research a year ago, I thought the process was fairly straightforward. You read a company’s annual report, analyze its financial statements, calculate a few ratios, build a valuation model, and eventuall...
The Output Gap: The Economic Thermometer Policymakers Can't Stop Watching
Every time the central bank announces a change in interest rates, or the government rolls out a new spending plan, a fundamental question hangs in the air: Is the economy running too hot, too cold, or just right?
The answer mostly lies in...
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Unpacking policy. Demystifying economics.
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