Thru the Cycle
John LonskiJohn Lonski's take on the financial markets.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 238 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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thruthecycle.substack.comLatest Issues
Closed Strait of Hormuz Helps Send Mortgage Yield Up from Four-year Low to One-year High
Closed Strait of Hormuz blocks recovery by US home sales …
The jump in Treasury bond yields following the Iran conflict has made matters worse for the US’ flat housing market.
Just prior to the start of the Iran conflict, the FHLMC’s 30-y...
GDPNow Says GDP Wow!
Real private-sector spending growth may top 4% in Q3 2026 …
According to the Atlanta Fed’s forecasting model, core real GDP, or real spending on final products by households and businesses, is projected to expand by 4.6% annualized from th...
Foreign Policy May Now Matter More Than Fed Policy
July’s surveys of US manufacturing and services were hot …
July’s expenditures may have been rapid enough to prevent any meaningful decline in inflation risks. July’s ISM index for US manufacturing activity jumped up to 55.6 points for its...
Fed Cut Rates Despite How Treasury Yield Curves of 1992 and 2002 Strongly Warned of Rate Hikes
Higher Bond Yields and Lower Share Prices Lessen Inflation Risks
Who needs a Fed rate hike if fixed rate borrowing costs rise and equity shares drop. Nevertheless, something much deeper than July 29’s -$1.13 trillion drop in the market val...
Hostilities Off, Risk On … Hostilities On, Risk Off
Right now, a convincing re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz would do more to rein in price inflation than would a Fed rate hike.
Apparently, the experts and their leaders failed to foresee Iran’s ability to effectively close of the Strait o...
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financial economist. data sleuth.
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