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Thru the Cycle

John Lonski

John Lonski's take on the financial markets.

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Issues232Founded3 years agoLast Issue2 days ago
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Latest Issues

June’s Monthly Rise by Consumer Prices May Be No Greater than 0.1%

June’s drop by gasoline prices suggests annual rate of PCE price index inflation peaked at May’s 4.1% ….

In view of how the US’ month-long average price per gallon of gasoline will probably drop by -10% from May to June, May’s 0.4% monthly...

2 days ago

Europe Shows US Bond Yields Can Fall After a Fed Rate Hike

Europe Shows US Bond Yields Can Fall After a Fed Rate Hike

The futures price of WTI crude oil recently fell to $70 per barrel. In response, the inflation-sensitive 10-year Treasury yield eased to 4.41%. Though the 2-year Treasury yield dip...

4 days ago
2

June’s CPI May Barely Rise as Second-Quarter Real GDP Growth Approaches 3%

Iran shifted likely direction of Fed policy from a rate cut to a rate hike …

Prior to the Iran war, the credit market expected at least one Fed rate cut by the end of 2026. On February 27, 2026, or the last trading day prior to the start o...

9 days ago
1

On Jobs, Stocks, and Rates

Job report’s upside surprise supplies a downside shock to richly-priced equities …

May’s employment report was chock full of upside surprises in terms of jobs creation. Not only did payrolls grow by a greater than anticipated 172,000 jobs...

21 days ago
2

Hotter than K-Pop … KOSPI Rockets Higher by 101% for 2026 To Date

SOX up by scintillating 81% for 2026 to date …

The US’ principal semiconductor stock price index’s (SOX) 2026-to-date’s advance of 81.1% has its mirror image in the comparably measured 101.1% increase of Korea’s KOSPI stock price index. Ne...

a month ago
2

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  • John Lonski

    financial economist. data sleuth.

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