Thru the Cycle
John LonskiJohn Lonski's take on the financial markets.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 91 | Subscribers | Read | thruthecycle.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Odds Favoring a June Rate Cut Keep Slip Sliding Away
Upward revisions for both Q4-2023’s real GDP and March’s consumer sentiment index, as well as another historically low reading for initial claims for unemployment insurance and the ISM’s first expansionary reading for US manufacturing since...
Equity and Credit Markets Show No Pressing Need for Fed Rate Cut
Markets shrug off FOMC’s hawkish turn on economy and inflation …
Taken Together -- CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales -- Hint of Stagflation
Persistently rapid inflation now lowers the odds favoring a first-half 2024 cutting of the federal funds rate. Both February’s CPI and PPI topped expectations. In response, Treasury yields rose.
This Is Not the Dawning of the Age of Aquarius
Ongoing expenditures growth implies financial markets can afford to wait patiently for a lower federal funds rate. However, if an end to progress at consumer price disinflation were to bring a Fed rate hike into view, markets would tank.
Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
financial economist. data sleuth.
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