Thru the Cycle
John LonskiJohn Lonski's take on the financial markets.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 244 | Founded | 4 years ago | Last Issue | 6 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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thruthecycle.substack.comLatest Issues
Stop the Spending Spree and Rate Hikes Will Stop
Doomed by diesel? …
At a recent record high $6.23 per gallon, the price of diesel fuel was up by 67% year-on-year. Just prior to the start of the Iran conflict, diesel’s price averaged $3.72 per gallon. Yes, Russia’s military action agains...
Will Iran, Russia, and AI Force the Fed to Hike?
Iran, Russia, and AI now spur PPI inflation …
The August PPI is expected to rise by 0.4% monthly following July’s unchanged reading. The monthly increase of the core PPI may edge up from July’s 0.2% to August’s 0.3%.
The price of diesel f...
August Jobs Report Shows Labor Market Supports Return of Disinflation
One Month Does Not Make a Trend
The solid August performance by the US job market only partly offset the mediocre showings of the previous year.
Notwithstanding August’s addition of 162,000 jobs to payrolls, payrolls still grew by merely...
Bond Yields Will Rise Until Consumers Say “No Mas” to Higher Prices
The Fed may not be able to directly influence changes in the prices of energy and other commodities that are the offshoot of changes in supply conditions. Nevertheless, the Fed may not stand for widespread price increases that follow from t...
Germany and Japan Lift the Floor for US Bond Yields
US Treasury bond yields show high correlations with German and Japanese yields …
Remembering that correlation does not always imply causation, I was struck by the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield’s incredibly high serial correlations of with th...
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financial economist. data sleuth.
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