Timeline Topography Tales
titotalI'm a computational physicist here to critique poor reasoning in the world around me.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Monthly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 35 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | a month ago |
| Active | |||||
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It's still easy to stump Chatgpt's image generator: A follow-up experiment
Introduction
A little over a year ago, I was shown an ad for the chatgpt image generator, with the declaration that a user would be able to “create any image with Chatgpt for free”.
My response to this ad is detailed in this blog post...
Are top existential risk estimates 50,000 times too high? An optimizer’s curse model and analysis
Thanks to Arepo, David Thorstadt, Zeshen, and Michael st Jules for looking over this article. Disclaimer: I am not a subject matter expert and this is not a rigorous scientific article. This post is entirely human-written.
Introductio...
Does disaster frequency follow power laws? It's complicated
Disclaimer: This is a huge topic, and I’m barely scratching the surface here. I’m not an expert on these subjects, and am mostly trying to summarise the work of experts in an accessible way.
Introduction:
One of my chief complaints about...
Eight reasons that existential risk estimates are so uncertain
What is the probability that all of humanity will soon go extinct? And if so, how?
In my previous article, I showed some data on how people, including experts, respond to this question. When you ask people to estimate the probability of hu...
Analysing the extreme spread in existential risk survey estimates
Disclaimer: I am not a subject matter expert in any of the fields being discussed here. I have done my best to check for errors but cannot guarantee that this article is error-free.
I would like to thank Ezra Karger, the author of the main...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Compuational physicist postdoc. Anti-rationalist effective altruism sympathiser.
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