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Head of Fin dept at DU, crunched #s w/quants, helped money managers sleep (slightly) better. Now writing about markets, models, & messes.

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Issues61Foundeda year agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

Does AI Still Read the News Better Than the Market?

The short version

A well-known finance paper showed that an AI model could read a news headline about a company and say, better than chance, which way the stock would move. The same paper predicted the effect would fade as more traders...

7 days ago
1

The Mechanism Survives, the Magnitude Doesn’t

Tommi Johnsen and Svetlana Shasharina

Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

Abstract

Here is the thesis, stated before the evidence: when we re-measured seven months of work on a pipeline tha...

a month ago
1

How We Tried to Teach Claude to Read Like an Analyst, and the Market Said No

Here is a thing that turns out to be true: two thoughtful humans can look at the same piece of financial news, both decide it is good news, agree with each other, and both be wrong in exactly the same way. Not wrong about the news. Wrong ab...

a month ago
1
5

News and earnings sentiment agree, mostly at the extremes

This is a very preliminary result (snapshot June 15, 2026) It rests on 21 earnings events from a single three-week window, and every number below should be read as a first sighting, not a finding. We are publishing it now to describe a patt...

2 months ago
1
2

When the insiders and the news disagree: a first look at the cross-signal

When the insiders and the news disagree: a first look at the cross-signal

Tommi Johnsen and Svetlana Shasharina

What this is about

Two different sources each tell you something about where a stock is going. The first is insider trad...

2 months ago
2

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  • Tommi Johnsen, PhD

    Head of Fin dept at DU, crunched #s w/quants, helped money managers sleep (slightly) better. Now writing about markets, models, & messes.

  • Svetlana Shasharina, PHD

    A physicist, yogi being.

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