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Trepa

Precision predictions for real-world outcomes. Turn accuracy into cash and clout.

Platform
Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues9Founded7 months agoLast Issue7 days ago
Active

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blog.trepa.io
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Latest Issues

Tomorrow, we open Trepa

Hi,

Eighteen months ago, Leon and I met arguing about Polymarket on Reddit. We were both fascinated by prediction markets and frustrated by the same thing: the binary structure throws away most of what people actually know. Someone who thi...

7 days ago
18
1

Early access launches Wednesday, May 20

Hey,

Early access launches Wednesday, May 20th, 2026.

The top 5,000 on the waitlist get an invite code on launch day. Everyone else gets invites in the days and weeks after, dropped through Discord, our socials, and a few campaigns we’ll...

17 days ago
9
1

Retrospective: We built it for the wrong room

V1 vs V2 / academic vs fun

The most expensive thing a startup can do is get the audience wrong. We did, and V1 of Trepa is the receipt.

V1 was a forecasting platform with academic ambitions. Long horizons, macro metrics, the kind of frami...

25 days ago
17

The docs are live (and there's 1,500 USDC on the table)

Hey,

Quick one. The Trepa documentation is now live at docs.trepa.io.

If you have been on the waitlist wondering what you actually signed up for, that link is the answer. The whole system is in there. How a one-minute round works. Where t...

a month ago
16

Trepa Manifesto: The Space Between

The gap

Forget the ceiling. Forget the theological grandeur.

The ceiling of the Sistine Chapel.

Zoom in.

The Creation of Adam by Michelangelo.

Closer. All the way to the fingertips.

Is perfection attainable?

The most famous image...

2 months ago
7

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  • Trepa

    Precision predictions for real-world outcomes.

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