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Demographic Data Analysis

Ulf Lorré

Mortality, Life Expectancy, Fertility and more

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues37Founded3 years agoLast Issue3 months ago
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Artwork for Demographic Data Analysis

Latest Issues

A method to reliably assess short-term mortality

In this methods article, I discuss some statistical pitfalls that can arise when analyzing time series and present a concept for addressing them. German mortality and population data and indicators derived from them are used for illustratio...

3 months ago
4

Will Germany's natural gas storage run dry this winter?

Recently, numerous posts have appeared on social media warning of a gas shortage in Germany. The rumors are based on the fact that underground natural gas storage facilities were only partially depleted at the beginning of winter. This week...

4 months ago
4
2

German life expectancy to reach a new annual record high in 2025

Destatis last week has published preliminary death figures for the whole year 2025 up to cw 52. After a series of years with significantly high mortality rates, 2025 has connected with the positive trends of the past. A new record high in a...

4 months ago
8
3

The 2020 Bergamo event and the harvesting effect

The harvesting effect is often cited as an argument in discussions about mortality. It is assumed that if the weakest of a population were eliminated, the surviving rest later would show a reduced mortality risk. This idea is simple, plausi...

7 months ago
7
11

PYLL reveals excess mortality of the younger as of 2021

Recently, I stumbled over an epidemiological metric called Potential Years of Life Loss, PYLL. While mortality rate and life expectancy predominantly depend on the many deaths of the old, PYLL evaluates the risk of the younger. To distingui...

a year ago
10
3

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