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Unexpected Points

Kevin Cole

Unique, analytical insights for smart football fans, media and analysts

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesDaily
Issues776SubscribersRead unexpectedpoints.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

Week 14 TNF Lions-Packers: Advanced Review

> The adjusted scores quantify team play quality, with emphasis on stable metrics (success rate) and downplaying higher variance events (turnovers, special team, penalties, fumble luck, etc). Adjusted expected points added (EPA), in conjunc...

16 days ago
4
0

Week 14 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings

Jordan Love is now a top-5 quarterback by the projections

16 days ago
5
4
Paid

2024 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency: Through Week 13

The best measure of quarterback value, adjusting for YAC, drops, turnover luck, SOS, blocking and other factors

18 days ago
6
0
Paid

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Kevin Cole

    Former senior data scientist at PFF, before that director of data and analytics at RotoGrinders. Finance guy in a past life.

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