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未定论 | Unsettled

Unsettled

在荒诞中,坚持判断

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Latest Issues

大加速时代的降临:美国科技精英与金融寡头构建的右翼乌托邦

文 | 廖正杰

“You take the blue pill – the story ends, you wake up in your bed and believe whatever you want to believe. You take the red pill – you stay in Wonderland and I show you how deep the rabbit holes goes .”

——The Matrix

在电影《黑客帝国》中,主...

14 days ago
2

北望赤县:蒋介石对大陆情势的忖量 (下)

六、对大陆民意的想象

下面谈蒋介石到底怎么看大陆老百姓的想法。我们前面讲过,蒋并不是一直都没有民意。实际上,他也有过民意很高的时候,比如1945年抗战胜利以后。但之后民意就像流水一样迅速流失,尤其到了1948年金圆券发行之后,人民对国民党政权怨声载道,这种情绪当然也会投射到蒋介石本人身上。

历史学家顾颉刚当时人在上海,他在1949年的日记里,就不断痛斥金圆券,也连带着痛斥国民党。但蒋介石似乎并不这么认为。他对自己仍然高度自信,始终认为大陆民意对他是向往和期待的。1949年...

16 days ago
3

北望赤县:蒋介石对大陆情势的忖量 (中)

四、北京与莫斯科:对中苏关系的判断

下面是蒋介石当时非常关注的一个问题——北京和莫斯科,也就是中共和苏共之间的关系。

在1963年中苏公开论战之前,蒋一直有一个根深蒂固的看法:他认为苏共在中共党内根深叶茂,中共实际上不得不听命于苏共。这个想法非常强烈,而且并不是到了台湾以后才形成的,在大陆时期他就已经这样认为了。

我们知道,1945年8月蒋介石之所以与斯大林签订《中苏友好同盟条约》,其中一个重要考虑,就是希望借助斯大林来压制中共。签订条约之前,他曾两次拍电报到延安,请毛...

17 days ago

北望赤县:蒋介石对大陆情势的忖量 (上)

编者按:

上海有一个“天天向上”学习沙龙,每几周会办一个讲座。《未定论》觉得这个沙龙的很多讲座都很有意思,有实在的内容(尽管我们并不总是赞同讲座人的某些立场、意见和看法),决定推荐给大家,让大家也看一看。

本讲演是黄骏老师对蒋《日记》与《年谱长编》的解读。


开场白

谢谢周老师,也谢谢各位老师,大家下午好。

我很高兴有这次机会参加这场活动。今天向大家报告的内容,与蒋介石日记有关。我们今天报告的题目叫《北望赤县:蒋介石对大陆情势的忖量》,主要讨论蒋介石如何...

18 days ago
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他们不是坏人,他们只是在保护自己

编者按:

在我们的朋友群里,你一定见过这样的场景:同一件事,两拨人剑拔弩张,互相谩骂,最后拉黑了事。任何话题都能瞬间变成阵营对立的战场。我们越来越确信:那些与自己意见不同的人,不只是想法不对,而是蠢人、坏人。

社会心理学家Kurt Gray在《愤怒的真相:为什么很多争执无关对错》一书中把这种心理叫做毁灭叙事。他的研究发现,人们普遍误以为对方阵营中有相当比例的人支持儿童色情这样的明显恶行——而事实上几乎无人如此。这种扭曲的认知,很大程度上是被那些靠贩卖愤怒为生的媒体和网红精...

19 days ago
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