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QQQ notes

ADC

A stock trader's macro regime model for the Nasdaq 100. Each week, I provide an analysis of price action, the Fed, key markets and narratives, market breadth, sentiment and positioning, and seasonality.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues284Founded4 years agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

QQQ weekly: 28 Sep - 2 Oct 2026

Price action

Last week, QQQ traded in a tight range until Friday, when it gapped above June’s all time high at 748.65 after a soft NFP print, which followed benign readings for Core PCE on Wednesday and ISM-M on Thursday. QQQ is now into a...

7 days ago
3

QQQ weekly: 21 - 25 Sep 2026

Price action

QQQ finally broke out of its tight four-week range between 700-720 with a sharp move higher on Monday 21 Sep on high volume. The most proximate catalysts were reports of renewed diplomatic exchanges between America and Iran, a...

14 days ago
6

QQQ weekly: 14 - 18 Sep 2026

Price action

QQQ gapped down on Monday after last weekend’s concerted call by frontier AI CEOs to slow the pace of model development. The semiconductor etf SMH fell -4.8%, while the cybersecurity etf CIBR jumped +6%. However, buyers steppe...

22 days ago
3

QQQ weekly: 7 - 11 Sep 2026

Price action

QQQ continues to hold inside an ever tightening range, with this week’s high-low price action spanning just 2%. QQQ is holding just above its 50dma and 100dma, while its 14d ATR, a measure of realised volatility, is now down t...

a month ago
3

QQQ weekly: 31 Aug - 4 Sep 2026

Price action

QQQ traded in a narrow 2.3% range last week. Price action is tightening up, and QQQ is holding above its 50dma and 100dma and the key level of 700. Realised volatility, as measured by 14d ATR is now down to 1.15%, which is as...

a month ago
3

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