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QQQ notes

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A stock trader's macro regime model for the Nasdaq 100. Each week, I provide an analysis of price action, the Fed, key markets and narratives, market breadth, sentiment and positioning, and seasonality.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues264Founded3 years agoLast Issue9 days ago
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Latest Issues

QQQ weekly: 4 - 8 May

Price action

QQQ continued its lock-out rally, +5.5% for the week and +28% from the low set just 28 sessions ago at the end of March. The semiconductor ETF, SMH, closed the week +11%, and +58% from the March low.

QQQ’s annualised rate of...

9 days ago
3

QQQ weekly: 27 Apr - 1 May

Price action

On Monday, QQQ shook off the failure of last weekend’s peace talks between America and Iran and held up fine, but on Tuesday it encountered a bump in the road. This came in the form of a WSJ article that suggested OpenAI is mi...

17 days ago

QQQ weekly: 20 - 24 Apr 2026

Price action

Having reached a short term overbought condition, QQQ paused around 650 from Monday to Thursday. Headlines about the conflict in Iran continue to be contradictory and confusing. On Wednesday, President Trump extended the cease...

24 days ago
3

QQQ weekly: 13 - 17 Apr 2026

Price action

Last Sunday, talks between Iran and the US broke down, prompting President Trump to announce a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Weekend markets suggested a jump higher in oil and a gap down in stocks on Monday. However,...

a month ago
2

QQQ weekly: 30 Mar - 10 Apr 2026

Price action

In my last post (Sun 29 Mar), I noted that conditions were in place for an oversold bounce - QQQ was as extended as it gets from its moving averages, breadth was extremely oversold, and sentiment was extremely bearish. All tha...

a month ago
3

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