AI Impacts blog
A blog from AI Impacts about the future of artificial intelligence
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 122 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 7 months ago |
| Active | |||||
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FAQ: Expert Survey on Progress in AI methodology
Context
The Expert Survey on Progress in AI (ESPAI) is a big survey of AI researchers that I’ve led four times—in 2016, then annually: 2022, 2023, and 2024 (results coming soon!)
Each time so far it’s had substantial attention—the firs...
Reanalyzing the 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI
An illustration of the central range of expert responses, when asked about the timeline of automating all human labor.
There’s a new report on the AI Impacts web site, that focuses on reanalyzing the data from the 2023 Expert Survey on Pro...
Winners of the Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy
We’re delighted to announce the winners of the Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy.
Overview
The competition attracted 90 entries in total (only one of which was obviously just the work of an LLM!), taking a wi...
What happens if you present 500 people with an argument that AI is risky?
Recently, Nathan Young and I wrote about arguments for AI risk and put them on the AI Impacts wiki. In the process, we ran a casual little survey of the American public regarding how they feel about the arguments, initially (if I recall) ju...
Ten arguments that AI is an existential risk
This is a snapshot of a new page on the AI Impacts Wiki.
We’ve made a list of arguments1 that AI poses an existential risk to humanity. We’d love to hear how you feel about them in the comments and polls.
Competent non-aligned agents...
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